California's 14th Congressional District special election primary on June 16, 2026, fills a vacancy in a safely Democratic East Bay seat covering areas such as Hayward, Livermore, and Pleasanton. A top-two format advances the leading vote-getters to an August 18 general, with multiple Democrats on the ballot alongside Republican contenders. State Senator Aisha Wahab holds the California Democratic Party endorsement and leads early positioning among a field that includes Melissa Hernandez and others. District partisan lean and historical turnout patterns favor Democratic advancement, while Republican candidates face structural barriers. Mail ballots and remaining campaign events through election day remain key variables for final margins.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertCA-14 Primary Winners
$5,098 Vol.
Aisha Wahab
99%
Melissa Hernandez
99%
Suzanne Chenault
2%
Carin Elam
2%
Matt Ortega
2%
Wendy Huang
2%
Victor Aguilar Jr.
1%
Rakhi Israni Singh
1%
$5,098 Vol.
Aisha Wahab
99%
Melissa Hernandez
99%
Suzanne Chenault
2%
Carin Elam
2%
Matt Ortega
2%
Wendy Huang
2%
Victor Aguilar Jr.
1%
Rakhi Israni Singh
1%
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 14h congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Markt eröffnet: May 21, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 14h congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...California's 14th Congressional District special election primary on June 16, 2026, fills a vacancy in a safely Democratic East Bay seat covering areas such as Hayward, Livermore, and Pleasanton. A top-two format advances the leading vote-getters to an August 18 general, with multiple Democrats on the ballot alongside Republican contenders. State Senator Aisha Wahab holds the California Democratic Party endorsement and leads early positioning among a field that includes Melissa Hernandez and others. District partisan lean and historical turnout patterns favor Democratic advancement, while Republican candidates face structural barriers. Mail ballots and remaining campaign events through election day remain key variables for final margins.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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