Aisha Wahab holds the strongest position in the June 16 special primary for California's 14th Congressional District because she secured the California Democratic Party endorsement and leads recent polling by double digits in this heavily Democratic seat. The vacancy arose after Eric Swalwell resigned in April amid allegations of misconduct, prompting the special election alongside the regular primary cycle. Melissa Hernandez and Carin Elam trail as the next most viable Democratic options based on local office experience and fundraising, while lower-priced candidates face steeper barriers to consolidating support. Trader consensus reflects Wahab's institutional backing and name recognition, though the crowded field and top-two advancement rules leave room for shifts before primary day.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertCA-14 Special Election Winner?
Aisha Wahab 90%
Rakhi Israni Singh 11.6%
Melissa Hernandez 4.6%
Victor Aguilar Jr. 3.9%
Aisha Wahab
72%
Melissa Hernandez
5%
Wendy Huang
2%
Carin Elam
31%
Matt Ortega
14%
Rakhi Israni Singh
17%
Victor Aguilar Jr.
4%
Aisha Wahab 90%
Rakhi Israni Singh 11.6%
Melissa Hernandez 4.6%
Victor Aguilar Jr. 3.9%
Aisha Wahab
72%
Melissa Hernandez
5%
Wendy Huang
2%
Carin Elam
31%
Matt Ortega
14%
Rakhi Israni Singh
17%
Victor Aguilar Jr.
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of this election.
This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 16, 2026, 1:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the winner of this election.
This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Aisha Wahab holds the strongest position in the June 16 special primary for California's 14th Congressional District because she secured the California Democratic Party endorsement and leads recent polling by double digits in this heavily Democratic seat. The vacancy arose after Eric Swalwell resigned in April amid allegations of misconduct, prompting the special election alongside the regular primary cycle. Melissa Hernandez and Carin Elam trail as the next most viable Democratic options based on local office experience and fundraising, while lower-priced candidates face steeper barriers to consolidating support. Trader consensus reflects Wahab's institutional backing and name recognition, though the crowded field and top-two advancement rules leave room for shifts before primary day.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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