Trader consensus on 2026 midterm House turnout centers tightly around 115-125 million ballots, mirroring recent highs like 2018's 118 million amid persistent partisan polarization and competitive generic congressional ballot polls showing Democrats edging likely voters by 2 points in late March Harvard/Harris surveys. Recent primary turnout in states like North Carolina has been solid but not exceptional, while both parties ramp up voter registration drives and mobilization targeting swing states and battleground districts, sustaining elevated expectations without a clear enthusiasm gap. This keeps probabilities dispersed; separation could emerge from presidential approval shifts, economic indicators influencing turnout among key voting blocs, or anomalies in upcoming primaries and early voting data before November 3.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert120-125 Mio. 22%
115-120 Mio. 19%
110-115 Mio. 15%
125-130 Mio. 14%
NEU
NEU
3. Nov. 2026
<85 Mio.
8%
85-90 Mio.
5%
90-95 Mio.
3%
95-100 Mio.
4%
100–105 Mio.
10%
105–110 Mio.
12%
110-115 Mio.
15%
115-120 Mio.
19%
120-125 Mio.
22%
125-130 Mio.
14%
130 Mio.+
6%
120-125 Mio. 22%
115-120 Mio. 19%
110-115 Mio. 15%
125-130 Mio. 14%
NEU
NEU
3. Nov. 2026
<85 Mio.
$309 Vol.
8%
85-90 Mio.
$409 Vol.
5%
90-95 Mio.
$791 Vol.
3%
95-100 Mio.
$259 Vol.
4%
100–105 Mio.
$603 Vol.
10%
105–110 Mio.
$343 Vol.
12%
110-115 Mio.
$278 Vol.
15%
115-120 Mio.
$274 Vol.
19%
120-125 Mio.
$248 Vol.
22%
125-130 Mio.
$230 Vol.
14%
130 Mio.+
$230 Vol.
6%
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Trader consensus on 2026 midterm House turnout centers tightly around 115-125 million ballots, mirroring recent highs like 2018's 118 million amid persistent partisan polarization and competitive generic congressional ballot polls showing Democrats edging likely voters by 2 points in late March Harvard/Harris surveys. Recent primary turnout in states like North Carolina has been solid but not exceptional, while both parties ramp up voter registration drives and mobilization targeting swing states and battleground districts, sustaining elevated expectations without a clear enthusiasm gap. This keeps probabilities dispersed; separation could emerge from presidential approval shifts, economic indicators influencing turnout among key voting blocs, or anomalies in upcoming primaries and early voting data before November 3.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Markt eröffnet: Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
Volumen
$3,973Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Trader consensus on 2026 midterm House turnout centers tightly around 115-125 million ballots, mirroring recent highs like 2018's 118 million amid persistent partisan polarization and competitive generic congressional ballot polls showing Democrats edging likely voters by 2 points in late March Harvard/Harris surveys. Recent primary turnout in states like North Carolina has been solid but not exceptional, while both parties ramp up voter registration drives and mobilization targeting swing states and battleground districts, sustaining elevated expectations without a clear enthusiasm gap. This keeps probabilities dispersed; separation could emerge from presidential approval shifts, economic indicators influencing turnout among key voting blocs, or anomalies in upcoming primaries and early voting data before November 3.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Volumen
$3,973Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on 2026 midterm House turnout centers tightly around 115-125 million ballots, mirroring recent highs like 2018's 118 million amid persistent partisan polarization and competitive generic congressional ballot polls showing Democrats edging likely voters by 2 points in late March Harvard/Harris surveys. Recent primary turnout in states like North Carolina has been solid but not exceptional, while both parties ramp up voter registration drives and mobilization targeting swing states and battleground districts, sustaining elevated expectations without a clear enthusiasm gap. This keeps probabilities dispersed; separation could emerge from presidential approval shifts, economic indicators influencing turnout among key voting blocs, or anomalies in upcoming primaries and early voting data before November 3.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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