Trader consensus favors 125-130 million votes in the 2026 midterm House elections at 29%, reflecting record primary turnouts in states like Texas and North Carolina in March, where participation smashed recent midterm benchmarks and early voting exceeded 2022 levels. Democratic advantages in generic congressional ballot polling averages—leading by 5-14 points nationally per Nate Silver and Marist—signal heightened enthusiasm among key voting blocs amid President Trump's second term, positioning turnout near 2018's 49% peak rather than 2022's 45%. Lower ranges trail due to historical midterm base rates, but consolidation behind higher buckets could follow sustained Democratic motivation or GOP counter-mobilization ahead of June primaries and November's general election. Special election overperformance by Democrats further underscores competitive turnout dynamics.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert115-120 Mio. 16%
120-125 Mio. 12%
110-115 Mio. 12%
130 Mio.+ 11%
NEU
NEU
3. Nov. 2026
<85 Mio.
<1%
85-90 Mio.
<1%
90-95 Mio.
1%
95-100 Mio.
1%
100–105 Mio.
1%
105–110 Mio.
5%
110-115 Mio.
12%
115-120 Mio.
16%
120-125 Mio.
22%
125-130 Mio.
26%
130 Mio.+
11%
115-120 Mio. 16%
120-125 Mio. 12%
110-115 Mio. 12%
130 Mio.+ 11%
NEU
NEU
3. Nov. 2026
<85 Mio.
$324 Vol.
<1%
85-90 Mio.
$419 Vol.
<1%
90-95 Mio.
$1,552 Vol.
1%
95-100 Mio.
$269 Vol.
1%
100–105 Mio.
$791 Vol.
1%
105–110 Mio.
$436 Vol.
5%
110-115 Mio.
$526 Vol.
12%
115-120 Mio.
$1,025 Vol.
16%
120-125 Mio.
$408 Vol.
22%
125-130 Mio.
$1,199 Vol.
26%
130 Mio.+
$294 Vol.
11%
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Trader consensus favors 125-130 million votes in the 2026 midterm House elections at 29%, reflecting record primary turnouts in states like Texas and North Carolina in March, where participation smashed recent midterm benchmarks and early voting exceeded 2022 levels. Democratic advantages in generic congressional ballot polling averages—leading by 5-14 points nationally per Nate Silver and Marist—signal heightened enthusiasm among key voting blocs amid President Trump's second term, positioning turnout near 2018's 49% peak rather than 2022's 45%. Lower ranges trail due to historical midterm base rates, but consolidation behind higher buckets could follow sustained Democratic motivation or GOP counter-mobilization ahead of June primaries and November's general election. Special election overperformance by Democrats further underscores competitive turnout dynamics.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Markt eröffnet: Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
Volumen
$7,242Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Trader consensus favors 125-130 million votes in the 2026 midterm House elections at 29%, reflecting record primary turnouts in states like Texas and North Carolina in March, where participation smashed recent midterm benchmarks and early voting exceeded 2022 levels. Democratic advantages in generic congressional ballot polling averages—leading by 5-14 points nationally per Nate Silver and Marist—signal heightened enthusiasm among key voting blocs amid President Trump's second term, positioning turnout near 2018's 49% peak rather than 2022's 45%. Lower ranges trail due to historical midterm base rates, but consolidation behind higher buckets could follow sustained Democratic motivation or GOP counter-mobilization ahead of June primaries and November's general election. Special election overperformance by Democrats further underscores competitive turnout dynamics.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Volumen
$7,242Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors 125-130 million votes in the 2026 midterm House elections at 29%, reflecting record primary turnouts in states like Texas and North Carolina in March, where participation smashed recent midterm benchmarks and early voting exceeded 2022 levels. Democratic advantages in generic congressional ballot polling averages—leading by 5-14 points nationally per Nate Silver and Marist—signal heightened enthusiasm among key voting blocs amid President Trump's second term, positioning turnout near 2018's 49% peak rather than 2022's 45%. Lower ranges trail due to historical midterm base rates, but consolidation behind higher buckets could follow sustained Democratic motivation or GOP counter-mobilization ahead of June primaries and November's general election. Special election overperformance by Democrats further underscores competitive turnout dynamics.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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