Trader consensus on 2026 midterms House turnout centers tightly around 120-130 million votes, with 125-130 million leading at 21% versus 120-125 million at 18%, signaling expectations above 2022's roughly 111 million total but below 2024 presidential levels. Recent polls highlight a Democratic enthusiasm gap over Republicans amid President Trump's administration, fueled by record-high oil prices, immigration policy debates, and potential Iran tensions, alongside Democratic outperformance in April special elections and unprecedented midterm primary turnout through March. This competitive generic ballot dynamic sustains uncertainty in base mobilization across battlegrounds. Shifts could emerge from upcoming primaries, economic indicators like gas prices, foreign policy escalations, or youth voter trends under economic pressure, potentially separating higher turnout bins.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert<85 Mio. 20.0%
120-125 Mio. 18%
115-120 Mio. 16%
110-115 Mio. 11%
NEU
NEU
3. Nov. 2026
<85 Mio.
19%
85-90 Mio.
4%
90-95 Mio.
1%
95-100 Mio.
1%
100–105 Mio.
4%
105–110 Mio.
5%
110-115 Mio.
11%
115-120 Mio.
16%
120-125 Mio.
18%
125-130 Mio.
27%
130 Mio.+
29%
<85 Mio. 20.0%
120-125 Mio. 18%
115-120 Mio. 16%
110-115 Mio. 11%
NEU
NEU
3. Nov. 2026
<85 Mio.
$319 Vol.
19%
85-90 Mio.
$419 Vol.
4%
90-95 Mio.
$1,552 Vol.
1%
95-100 Mio.
$269 Vol.
1%
100–105 Mio.
$782 Vol.
4%
105–110 Mio.
$436 Vol.
5%
110-115 Mio.
$526 Vol.
11%
115-120 Mio.
$1,025 Vol.
16%
120-125 Mio.
$408 Vol.
18%
125-130 Mio.
$1,199 Vol.
27%
130 Mio.+
$294 Vol.
29%
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Trader consensus on 2026 midterms House turnout centers tightly around 120-130 million votes, with 125-130 million leading at 21% versus 120-125 million at 18%, signaling expectations above 2022's roughly 111 million total but below 2024 presidential levels. Recent polls highlight a Democratic enthusiasm gap over Republicans amid President Trump's administration, fueled by record-high oil prices, immigration policy debates, and potential Iran tensions, alongside Democratic outperformance in April special elections and unprecedented midterm primary turnout through March. This competitive generic ballot dynamic sustains uncertainty in base mobilization across battlegrounds. Shifts could emerge from upcoming primaries, economic indicators like gas prices, foreign policy escalations, or youth voter trends under economic pressure, potentially separating higher turnout bins.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Markt eröffnet: Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
Volumen
$7,229Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Trader consensus on 2026 midterms House turnout centers tightly around 120-130 million votes, with 125-130 million leading at 21% versus 120-125 million at 18%, signaling expectations above 2022's roughly 111 million total but below 2024 presidential levels. Recent polls highlight a Democratic enthusiasm gap over Republicans amid President Trump's administration, fueled by record-high oil prices, immigration policy debates, and potential Iran tensions, alongside Democratic outperformance in April special elections and unprecedented midterm primary turnout through March. This competitive generic ballot dynamic sustains uncertainty in base mobilization across battlegrounds. Shifts could emerge from upcoming primaries, economic indicators like gas prices, foreign policy escalations, or youth voter trends under economic pressure, potentially separating higher turnout bins.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Volumen
$7,229Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on 2026 midterms House turnout centers tightly around 120-130 million votes, with 125-130 million leading at 21% versus 120-125 million at 18%, signaling expectations above 2022's roughly 111 million total but below 2024 presidential levels. Recent polls highlight a Democratic enthusiasm gap over Republicans amid President Trump's administration, fueled by record-high oil prices, immigration policy debates, and potential Iran tensions, alongside Democratic outperformance in April special elections and unprecedented midterm primary turnout through March. This competitive generic ballot dynamic sustains uncertainty in base mobilization across battlegrounds. Shifts could emerge from upcoming primaries, economic indicators like gas prices, foreign policy escalations, or youth voter trends under economic pressure, potentially separating higher turnout bins.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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