Trader consensus on TSA passenger screenings for March 22 heavily favors the 2.7M-2.9M range at 62.5% implied probability, anchored by accelerating spring break travel volumes evident in prior days' data—March 21 recorded about 2.47 million, up from recent weekends amid favorable weather and robust airline bookings. Fridays consistently drive higher throughput due to pre-weekend leisure trips, with economic resilience and minimal disruptions like weather delays or strikes bolstering this band over lower outcomes. The adjacent 2.9M-3.1M at 29.5% captures upside from peak holiday surges, while extremes fade against steady seasonal trends; traders eye Easter proximity but prioritize recent momentum without confirmed overperformance.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert2.7M-2.9M 68%
2.9M-3.1M 30%
2.5M-2.7M 6.6%
<2.5M 3.4%
<2.5M
3%
2.5M-2.7M
7%
2.7M-2.9M
64%
2.9M-3.1M
33%
3.1M-3.3M
1%
>3.3M
<1%
2.7M-2.9M 68%
2.9M-3.1M 30%
2.5M-2.7M 6.6%
<2.5M 3.4%
<2.5M
3%
2.5M-2.7M
7%
2.7M-2.9M
64%
2.9M-3.1M
33%
3.1M-3.3M
1%
>3.3M
<1%
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 17, 2026, 5:31 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on TSA passenger screenings for March 22 heavily favors the 2.7M-2.9M range at 62.5% implied probability, anchored by accelerating spring break travel volumes evident in prior days' data—March 21 recorded about 2.47 million, up from recent weekends amid favorable weather and robust airline bookings. Fridays consistently drive higher throughput due to pre-weekend leisure trips, with economic resilience and minimal disruptions like weather delays or strikes bolstering this band over lower outcomes. The adjacent 2.9M-3.1M at 29.5% captures upside from peak holiday surges, while extremes fade against steady seasonal trends; traders eye Easter proximity but prioritize recent momentum without confirmed overperformance.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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