Progressive Bulgaria (PB), backed by former President Rumen Radev, commands trader consensus at 93.8% to secure the most seats in Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election, driven by its sustained 29-31% lead in late March opinion polls from Alpha Research and Market Links—well ahead of GERB–SDS at 21%—amid a fragmented field under proportional representation. This reflects anti-establishment momentum from the Zhelyazkov government's December collapse over corruption protests, positioning the new centre-left PB as a fresh alternative after seven prior elections since 2021. Low undecided rates (around 10%) and stable trends bolster confidence, though challenges could arise from a GERB surge, undecided voter shifts, or polling errors favoring established parties in the 240-seat National Assembly race.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertPB 93.7%
GERB–SDS 2.7%
PP–DB <1%
ITN <1%
$91,127 Vol.
$91,127 Vol.

PB
94%

GERB–SDS
3%

PP–DB
1%

ITN
<1%

Velichie
<1%

APS
<1%

MECH
<1%

Vazrazhdane
<1%

DPS
<1%

BSP – Vereinigte Linke
<1%
PB 93.7%
GERB–SDS 2.7%
PP–DB <1%
ITN <1%
$91,127 Vol.
$91,127 Vol.

PB
94%

GERB–SDS
3%

PP–DB
1%

ITN
<1%

Velichie
<1%

APS
<1%

MECH
<1%

Vazrazhdane
<1%

DPS
<1%

BSP – Vereinigte Linke
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Bulgarian National Assembly as a result of this election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed, the listed name will be used.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Markt eröffnet: Mar 13, 2026, 1:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Bulgarian National Assembly as a result of this election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed, the listed name will be used.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Progressive Bulgaria (PB), backed by former President Rumen Radev, commands trader consensus at 93.8% to secure the most seats in Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election, driven by its sustained 29-31% lead in late March opinion polls from Alpha Research and Market Links—well ahead of GERB–SDS at 21%—amid a fragmented field under proportional representation. This reflects anti-establishment momentum from the Zhelyazkov government's December collapse over corruption protests, positioning the new centre-left PB as a fresh alternative after seven prior elections since 2021. Low undecided rates (around 10%) and stable trends bolster confidence, though challenges could arise from a GERB surge, undecided voter shifts, or polling errors favoring established parties in the 240-seat National Assembly race.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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