Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 55-60% voter turnout (76.2%) for Honduras' November 30, 2025 general election, aligning with historical averages like 56% in 2017 and 60% in 2013, while exceeding the lower <55% bin amid economic stagnation and security concerns. Key drivers include widespread disillusionment with institutions, high poverty rates suppressing participation, and ongoing gang violence deterring rural voters, though President Xiomara Castro's polarizing administration and opposition fragmentation may sustain moderate engagement. Recent National Electoral Council data shows 6.2 million registered voters—stable but not surging—coupled with surveys highlighting apathy, reinforcing this range over optimistic 60-65% odds; candidate filings close soon, potentially shifting sentiment.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertWahlbeteiligung bei den honduranischen Parlamentswahlen 2025
Wahlbeteiligung bei den honduranischen Parlamentswahlen 2025
55-60% 69.4%
Unter 55 % 21.2%
60-65% 7.8%
$1,574,442 Vol.
$1,574,442 Vol.
Unter 55 %
19%
55-60%
76%
60-65%
8%
55-60% 69.4%
Unter 55 % 21.2%
60-65% 7.8%
$1,574,442 Vol.
$1,574,442 Vol.
Unter 55 %
19%
55-60%
76%
60-65%
8%
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage in the 2025 Honduran general election, calculated as “total votes cast” divided by “eligible voters” (“electores habilitados”).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the 2025 Honduran general election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Honduran government, specifically the National Election Council (Consejo Nacional Electoral or CNE) (https://www.cne.hn/).
Markt eröffnet: Nov 29, 2025, 5:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 55-60% voter turnout (76.2%) for Honduras' November 30, 2025 general election, aligning with historical averages like 56% in 2017 and 60% in 2013, while exceeding the lower <55% bin amid economic stagnation and security concerns. Key drivers include widespread disillusionment with institutions, high poverty rates suppressing participation, and ongoing gang violence deterring rural voters, though President Xiomara Castro's polarizing administration and opposition fragmentation may sustain moderate engagement. Recent National Electoral Council data shows 6.2 million registered voters—stable but not surging—coupled with surveys highlighting apathy, reinforcing this range over optimistic 60-65% odds; candidate filings close soon, potentially shifting sentiment.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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