Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in the 1320-1359 post range at 100% implied probability for Elon Musk's total X activity throughout March 2026, reflecting verified data from the platform's post counter now publicly accessible after the month's close on March 31. Musk sustained an exceptionally high posting cadence—averaging over 42 posts daily—consistent with resolved prior weekly markets, including 340-359 posts from March 3-10 and 220-239 from March 24-31, driven by his ongoing engagement on topics like AI advancements, SpaceX updates, and policy commentary. Absent platform data revisions, account deletions, or disputes over inclusion criteria like replies and reposts, this outcome faces negligible risk of reversal.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert1320-1359 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$3,509,215 Vol.
$3,509,215 Vol.
<20
Nein
20-39
Nein
40-59
Nein
60-79
Nein
80-99
Nein
100-119
Nein
120-139
Nein
140-159
Nein
160-179
Nein
180-199
Nein
200-219
Nein
220-239
Nein
240-259
Nein
260-279
Nein
280-299
Nein
300-319
Nein
320-339
Nein
340-359
Nein
360-379
Nein
380-399
Nein
400-419
Nein
420-439
Nein
440-459
Nein
460-479
Nein
480-499
Nein
500-519
Nein
520-539
Nein
540-559
Nein
560-579
Nein
580–599
Nein
600-639
Nein
640-679
Nein
680-719
Nein
720–759
Nein
760-799
Nein
800-839
Nein
840-879
Nein
880-919
Nein
920-959
Nein
960-999
Nein
1000–1039
Nein
1040-1079
Nein
1080-1119
Nein
1120-1159
Nein
1160-1199
Nein
1200-1239
Nein
1240-1279
Nein
1280-1319
Nein
1320-1359
Ja
1360-1399
Nein
1400+
Nein
1320-1359 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$3,509,215 Vol.
$3,509,215 Vol.
<20
Nein
20-39
Nein
40-59
Nein
60-79
Nein
80-99
Nein
100-119
Nein
120-139
Nein
140-159
Nein
160-179
Nein
180-199
Nein
200-219
Nein
220-239
Nein
240-259
Nein
260-279
Nein
280-299
Nein
300-319
Nein
320-339
Nein
340-359
Nein
360-379
Nein
380-399
Nein
400-419
Nein
420-439
Nein
440-459
Nein
460-479
Nein
480-499
Nein
500-519
Nein
520-539
Nein
540-559
Nein
560-579
Nein
580–599
Nein
600-639
Nein
640-679
Nein
680-719
Nein
720–759
Nein
760-799
Nein
800-839
Nein
840-879
Nein
880-919
Nein
920-959
Nein
960-999
Nein
1000–1039
Nein
1040-1079
Nein
1080-1119
Nein
1120-1159
Nein
1160-1199
Nein
1200-1239
Nein
1240-1279
Nein
1280-1319
Nein
1320-1359
Ja
1360-1399
Nein
1400+
Nein
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Markt eröffnet: Jan 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in the 1320-1359 post range at 100% implied probability for Elon Musk's total X activity throughout March 2026, reflecting verified data from the platform's post counter now publicly accessible after the month's close on March 31. Musk sustained an exceptionally high posting cadence—averaging over 42 posts daily—consistent with resolved prior weekly markets, including 340-359 posts from March 3-10 and 220-239 from March 24-31, driven by his ongoing engagement on topics like AI advancements, SpaceX updates, and policy commentary. Absent platform data revisions, account deletions, or disputes over inclusion criteria like replies and reposts, this outcome faces negligible risk of reversal.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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