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Politik·Weltwahlen

Wahlsieger bei den Wahlen zur Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly

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Politik·Weltwahlen

Wahlsieger bei den Wahlen zur Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly

DMK 77%

ADMK 15.0%

TVK 7.1%

AITC <1%

Polymarket

$160,552 Vol.

DMK 77%

ADMK 15.0%

TVK 7.1%

AITC <1%

Polymarket

$160,552 Vol.

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DMK

$13,683 Vol.

77%

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ADMK

$12,674 Vol.

15%

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TVK

$21,492 Vol.

7%

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AITC

$17,491 Vol.

<1%

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CPI(M)

$17,897 Vol.

<1%

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DMDK

$11,992 Vol.

<1%

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NPEP

$11,962 Vol.

<1%

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BJP

$14,159 Vol.

<1%

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NCP

$10,871 Vol.

<1%

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BSP

$12,144 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

CPI

$0 Vol.

<1%

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INC

$16,186 Vol.

<1%

Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Tamil Nadu, India, in March–May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors DMK at 78% implied probability to win the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election, driven by the party's sweeping success in the 2024 Lok Sabha polls where its alliance captured 38 of 39 seats, solidifying Chief Minister MK Stalin's incumbency advantage through popular welfare schemes like free bus rides for women and financial aid programs. AIADMK trails at 15% amid ongoing leadership challenges following J Jayalalithaa's era and failed alliance attempts with BJP. TVK's 7% reflects actor Vijay's youth appeal since launching the party in early 2024, though it lacks electoral infrastructure. No major developments in the past 30 days; the 234-seat first-past-the-post contest remains scheduled for 2026, with potential shifts from coalition negotiations or scandals.

Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Tamil Nadu, India, in March–May 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
Volumen
$160,552
Enddatum
Apr 23, 2026
Markt eröffnet
Dec 23, 2025, 3:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Tamil Nadu, India, in March–May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors DMK at 78% implied probability to win the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election, driven by the party's sweeping success in the 2024 Lok Sabha polls where its alliance captured 38 of 39 seats, solidifying Chief Minister MK Stalin's incumbency advantage through popular welfare schemes like free bus rides for women and financial aid programs. AIADMK trails at 15% amid ongoing leadership challenges following J Jayalalithaa's era and failed alliance attempts with BJP. TVK's 7% reflects actor Vijay's youth appeal since launching the party in early 2024, though it lacks electoral infrastructure. No major developments in the past 30 days; the 234-seat first-past-the-post contest remains scheduled for 2026, with potential shifts from coalition negotiations or scandals.

Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors DMK at 78% implied probability to win the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election, driven by the party's sweeping success in the 2024 Lok Sabha polls where its alliance captured 38 of 39 seats, solidifying Chief Minister MK Stalin's incumbency advantage through popular welfare schemes like free bus rides for women and financial aid programs. AIADMK trails at 15% amid ongoing leadership challenges following J Jayalalithaa's era and failed alliance attempts with BJP. TVK's 7% reflects actor Vijay's youth appeal since launching the party in early 2024, though it lacks electoral infrastructure. No major developments in the past 30 days; the 234-seat first-past-the-post contest remains scheduled for 2026, with potential shifts from coalition negotiations or scandals.

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Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Wahlsieger bei den Wahlen zur Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 12 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „DMK" mit 77%, gefolgt von „ADMK" mit 15%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 77¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 77% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Wahlsieger bei den Wahlen zur Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $160.6K generiert, seit der Markt am Dec 23, 2025 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Wahlsieger bei den Wahlen zur Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 12 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Wahlsieger bei den Wahlen zur Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly" ist „DMK" mit 77%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 77% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „ADMK" mit 15%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Wahlsieger bei den Wahlen zur Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.