Trader consensus heavily favors Democratic Party Rep. Chun Jae-soo at 70.5% implied probability for the June 3, 2026 Busan mayoral election, driven by recent polls showing opposition strength in Busan amid national momentum for the ruling Democratic Party ahead of local elections. Yesterday's announcement of a Democratic primary between Chun and Lee Jae-sung solidifies his frontrunner status, bolstered by his March 14 candidacy declaration and consistent poll leads over incumbent People Power Party Mayor Park Heong-joon, despite Chun's ongoing police probe. Park trails at 24%, hurt by his party's internal primary decision and limited progress on key initiatives like the Busan Global Hub special bill, highlighted by his March 23 head-shaving protest at the National Assembly. Low-odds candidates like Choi In-ho reflect minimal polling support, with primaries and shifting regional sentiment as key upcoming catalysts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertChun Jae-soo 71%
Park Heong-joon 24%
Choi In-ho 1.6%
Cho Kuk 1.3%
$213,470 Vol.
$213,470 Vol.

Chun Jae-soo
71%

Park Heong-joon
24%

Choi In-ho
2%

Cho Kuk
1%

Suh Byung-soo
1%

Cho Kyoung-tae
1%

Lee Jae-sung
1%

Kim Young-choon
<1%

Park Seong-hoon
<1%

Hong Soon-heon
<1%

Kim Do-eup
<1%

Park Jae-ho
<1%
Chun Jae-soo 71%
Park Heong-joon 24%
Choi In-ho 1.6%
Cho Kuk 1.3%
$213,470 Vol.
$213,470 Vol.

Chun Jae-soo
71%

Park Heong-joon
24%

Choi In-ho
2%

Cho Kuk
1%

Suh Byung-soo
1%

Cho Kyoung-tae
1%

Lee Jae-sung
1%

Kim Young-choon
<1%

Park Seong-hoon
<1%

Hong Soon-heon
<1%

Kim Do-eup
<1%

Park Jae-ho
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Markt eröffnet: Nov 12, 2025, 7:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Democratic Party Rep. Chun Jae-soo at 70.5% implied probability for the June 3, 2026 Busan mayoral election, driven by recent polls showing opposition strength in Busan amid national momentum for the ruling Democratic Party ahead of local elections. Yesterday's announcement of a Democratic primary between Chun and Lee Jae-sung solidifies his frontrunner status, bolstered by his March 14 candidacy declaration and consistent poll leads over incumbent People Power Party Mayor Park Heong-joon, despite Chun's ongoing police probe. Park trails at 24%, hurt by his party's internal primary decision and limited progress on key initiatives like the Busan Global Hub special bill, highlighted by his March 23 head-shaving protest at the National Assembly. Low-odds candidates like Choi In-ho reflect minimal polling support, with primaries and shifting regional sentiment as key upcoming catalysts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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