Recent March polls, including Demoskop (March 24) and Ipsos (March 22), show the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) leading with 31-33% vote intention, well ahead of Sweden Democrats (SD) at 20% and Moderate Party (M) at 17-18%, translating to projected 121 Riksdag seats for S versus 64-75 for rivals under proportional representation. This sustained double-digit lead over the past 30 days, amid stable opposition support for the Tidö Agreement right-wing minority government (M, KD, L backed by SD), drives trader consensus pricing S as 89% likely to secure the most seats on September 13. A recent Liberals poll bump to 4.5% aids PM Kristersson's re-election bid but fails to narrow the gap, with six months until voting.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertGewinner der schwedischen Parlamentswahl
Gewinner der schwedischen Parlamentswahl
Schwedische Sozialdemokratische Partei (S) 89%
Schwedendemokraten (SD) 5.0%
Moderate Partei (M) 4.2%
Grüne Partei (MP) <1%
$853,464 Vol.
$853,464 Vol.
Sep 13, 2026
Schwedische Sozialdemokratische Partei (S)
89%
Schwedendemokraten (SD)
5%
Moderate Partei (M)
4%
Grüne Partei (MP)
1%
Linkspartei (V)
<1%
Bürgerkoalition (MED)
<1%
Zentrumspartei (C)
<1%
Liberale (L)
<1%
Christdemokraten (KD)
<1%
Schwedische Sozialdemokratische Partei (S) 89%
Schwedendemokraten (SD) 5.0%
Moderate Partei (M) 4.2%
Grüne Partei (MP) <1%
$853,464 Vol.
$853,464 Vol.
Sep 13, 2026
Schwedische Sozialdemokratische Partei (S)
$25,661 Vol.
89%
Schwedendemokraten (SD)
$368,526 Vol.
5%
Moderate Partei (M)
$372,552 Vol.
4%
Grüne Partei (MP)
$86,725 Vol.
1%
Linkspartei (V)
$0 Vol.
<1%
Bürgerkoalition (MED)
$0 Vol.
<1%
Zentrumspartei (C)
$0 Vol.
<1%
Liberale (L)
$0 Vol.
<1%
Christdemokraten (KD)
$0 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent March polls, including Demoskop (March 24) and Ipsos (March 22), show the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) leading with 31-33% vote intention, well ahead of Sweden Democrats (SD) at 20% and Moderate Party (M) at 17-18%, translating to projected 121 Riksdag seats for S versus 64-75 for rivals under proportional representation. This sustained double-digit lead over the past 30 days, amid stable opposition support for the Tidö Agreement right-wing minority government (M, KD, L backed by SD), drives trader consensus pricing S as 89% likely to secure the most seats on September 13. A recent Liberals poll bump to 4.5% aids PM Kristersson's re-election bid but fails to narrow the gap, with six months until voting.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Markt eröffnet: Dec 4, 2025, 11:45 AM ET
Volumen
$853,464Enddatum
Sep 13, 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 4, 2025, 11:45 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent March polls, including Demoskop (March 24) and Ipsos (March 22), show the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) leading with 31-33% vote intention, well ahead of Sweden Democrats (SD) at 20% and Moderate Party (M) at 17-18%, translating to projected 121 Riksdag seats for S versus 64-75 for rivals under proportional representation. This sustained double-digit lead over the past 30 days, amid stable opposition support for the Tidö Agreement right-wing minority government (M, KD, L backed by SD), drives trader consensus pricing S as 89% likely to secure the most seats on September 13. A recent Liberals poll bump to 4.5% aids PM Kristersson's re-election bid but fails to narrow the gap, with six months until voting.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volumen
$853,464Enddatum
Sep 13, 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 4, 2025, 11:45 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent March polls, including Demoskop (March 24) and Ipsos (March 22), show the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) leading with 31-33% vote intention, well ahead of Sweden Democrats (SD) at 20% and Moderate Party (M) at 17-18%, translating to projected 121 Riksdag seats for S versus 64-75 for rivals under proportional representation. This sustained double-digit lead over the past 30 days, amid stable opposition support for the Tidö Agreement right-wing minority government (M, KD, L backed by SD), drives trader consensus pricing S as 89% likely to secure the most seats on September 13. A recent Liberals poll bump to 4.5% aids PM Kristersson's re-election bid but fails to narrow the gap, with six months until voting.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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