Incumbent Rep. Jason Smith's entrenched position as Ways and Means Committee chair, combined with MO-08's R+27 Cook Partisan Voting Index, underpins trader consensus at 93.5% for a Republican House winner. Smith, who filed for reelection in February 2026 with $4.8 million cash-on-hand, has secured general election margins above 76% in recent cycles amid a fragmented Democratic primary field featuring ex-state Sen. Frank Barnitz and others. No polling exists, but challengers like Gordon Heslop emerged in GOP primary by late March, with August 4 contests looming. Upsets could arise from scandal, health issues, or a national Democratic surge, though structural advantages make such shifts unlikely.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertMO-08 Wahlsieger
MO-08 Wahlsieger
$27,478 Vol.
$27,478 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
94%
Demokratische Partei
6%
$27,478 Vol.
$27,478 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
$17,266 Vol.
94%
Demokratische Partei
$10,212 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Jason Smith's entrenched position as Ways and Means Committee chair, combined with MO-08's R+27 Cook Partisan Voting Index, underpins trader consensus at 93.5% for a Republican House winner. Smith, who filed for reelection in February 2026 with $4.8 million cash-on-hand, has secured general election margins above 76% in recent cycles amid a fragmented Democratic primary field featuring ex-state Sen. Frank Barnitz and others. No polling exists, but challengers like Gordon Heslop emerged in GOP primary by late March, with August 4 contests looming. Upsets could arise from scandal, health issues, or a national Democratic surge, though structural advantages make such shifts unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volumen
$27,478Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Jason Smith's entrenched position as Ways and Means Committee chair, combined with MO-08's R+27 Cook Partisan Voting Index, underpins trader consensus at 93.5% for a Republican House winner. Smith, who filed for reelection in February 2026 with $4.8 million cash-on-hand, has secured general election margins above 76% in recent cycles amid a fragmented Democratic primary field featuring ex-state Sen. Frank Barnitz and others. No polling exists, but challengers like Gordon Heslop emerged in GOP primary by late March, with August 4 contests looming. Upsets could arise from scandal, health issues, or a national Democratic surge, though structural advantages make such shifts unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$27,478Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Jason Smith's entrenched position as Ways and Means Committee chair, combined with MO-08's R+27 Cook Partisan Voting Index, underpins trader consensus at 93.5% for a Republican House winner. Smith, who filed for reelection in February 2026 with $4.8 million cash-on-hand, has secured general election margins above 76% in recent cycles amid a fragmented Democratic primary field featuring ex-state Sen. Frank Barnitz and others. No polling exists, but challengers like Gordon Heslop emerged in GOP primary by late March, with August 4 contests looming. Upsets could arise from scandal, health issues, or a national Democratic surge, though structural advantages make such shifts unlikely.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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