In Colorado's 8th Congressional District, trader consensus favors the Democratic Party at 68% implied probability to win the November 2026 House race, reflecting optimism around a competitive primary field challenging vulnerable incumbent Gabe Evans (R), who prevailed by just 0.8% in 2024. Following the March 17 filing deadline, key Democratic contenders include well-funded state Rep. Manny Rutinel ($2.5M raised), former state Rep. Shannon Bird ($1.2M), and Marine veteran Evan Munsing ($485K), whose December 2025 head-to-head poll showed a lead over Evans among Hispanic and independent voters in this even-PVI swing district. Forecasters rate it a Toss Up, but strong Democratic fundraising and Evans' narrow prior margin—amid reports of communications team issues—bolster flip potential ahead of the June 30 primary.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertCO-08 Wahlsieger
CO-08 Wahlsieger
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
Demokratische Partei
68%
Republikanische Partei
32%
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
Demokratische Partei
$319 Vol.
68%
Republikanische Partei
$0 Vol.
32%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In Colorado's 8th Congressional District, trader consensus favors the Democratic Party at 68% implied probability to win the November 2026 House race, reflecting optimism around a competitive primary field challenging vulnerable incumbent Gabe Evans (R), who prevailed by just 0.8% in 2024. Following the March 17 filing deadline, key Democratic contenders include well-funded state Rep. Manny Rutinel ($2.5M raised), former state Rep. Shannon Bird ($1.2M), and Marine veteran Evan Munsing ($485K), whose December 2025 head-to-head poll showed a lead over Evans among Hispanic and independent voters in this even-PVI swing district. Forecasters rate it a Toss Up, but strong Democratic fundraising and Evans' narrow prior margin—amid reports of communications team issues—bolster flip potential ahead of the June 30 primary.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Dec 16, 2025, 11:47 AM ET
Volumen
$319Enddatum
Nov 4, 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 16, 2025, 11:47 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In Colorado's 8th Congressional District, trader consensus favors the Democratic Party at 68% implied probability to win the November 2026 House race, reflecting optimism around a competitive primary field challenging vulnerable incumbent Gabe Evans (R), who prevailed by just 0.8% in 2024. Following the March 17 filing deadline, key Democratic contenders include well-funded state Rep. Manny Rutinel ($2.5M raised), former state Rep. Shannon Bird ($1.2M), and Marine veteran Evan Munsing ($485K), whose December 2025 head-to-head poll showed a lead over Evans among Hispanic and independent voters in this even-PVI swing district. Forecasters rate it a Toss Up, but strong Democratic fundraising and Evans' narrow prior margin—amid reports of communications team issues—bolster flip potential ahead of the June 30 primary.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$319Enddatum
Nov 4, 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 16, 2025, 11:47 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...In Colorado's 8th Congressional District, trader consensus favors the Democratic Party at 68% implied probability to win the November 2026 House race, reflecting optimism around a competitive primary field challenging vulnerable incumbent Gabe Evans (R), who prevailed by just 0.8% in 2024. Following the March 17 filing deadline, key Democratic contenders include well-funded state Rep. Manny Rutinel ($2.5M raised), former state Rep. Shannon Bird ($1.2M), and Marine veteran Evan Munsing ($485K), whose December 2025 head-to-head poll showed a lead over Evans among Hispanic and independent voters in this even-PVI swing district. Forecasters rate it a Toss Up, but strong Democratic fundraising and Evans' narrow prior margin—amid reports of communications team issues—bolster flip potential ahead of the June 30 primary.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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