Recent constituency polling has positioned Count Binface near 20% in the Clacton by-election, where major parties declined to stand against Reform UK leader Nigel Farage, resulting in a record 34 candidates on the ballot. A Survation survey conducted in late July and early August showed Farage at 73% with Binface at 20%, reflecting voter consolidation behind the novelty candidate amid the absence of conventional opposition and widespread awareness of the contest. Traders appear to view this as the central driver of outcomes in the 10–20% and 20–30% ranges, with the fragmented field and protest dynamics limiting prospects for significantly higher or lower shares while the vote count remains underway.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertClacton-Nachwahl: Zähle Binface-Abstimmung %
Binface 10–20 % 53%
Binface 20–30 % 26%
Binface <10% 15%
Binface 30–40 % 3.4%
$477,785 Vol.
$477,785 Vol.
Binface <10%
15%
Binface 10–20 %
53%
Binface 20–30 %
26%
Binface 30–40 %
3%
Binface 40%+
1%
Binface 10–20 % 53%
Binface 20–30 % 26%
Binface <10% 15%
Binface 30–40 % 3.4%
$477,785 Vol.
$477,785 Vol.
Binface <10%
15%
Binface 10–20 %
53%
Binface 20–30 %
26%
Binface 30–40 %
3%
Binface 40%+
1%
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Count Binface wins in the Clacton parliamentary by-election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified candidate does not compete or the results of the specified election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
Markt eröffnet: Jul 8, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Count Binface wins in the Clacton parliamentary by-election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified candidate does not compete or the results of the specified election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent constituency polling has positioned Count Binface near 20% in the Clacton by-election, where major parties declined to stand against Reform UK leader Nigel Farage, resulting in a record 34 candidates on the ballot. A Survation survey conducted in late July and early August showed Farage at 73% with Binface at 20%, reflecting voter consolidation behind the novelty candidate amid the absence of conventional opposition and widespread awareness of the contest. Traders appear to view this as the central driver of outcomes in the 10–20% and 20–30% ranges, with the fragmented field and protest dynamics limiting prospects for significantly higher or lower shares while the vote count remains underway.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


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