Incumbent Democrat Bennie Thompson secured renomination in the March 10, 2026, primary for Mississippi's 2nd Congressional District, defeating two challengers en route to a likely 18th term against Republican Ron Eller, who won his party's nomination in a competitive runoff. The district's strong Democratic lean (Cook PVI D+11), driven by its majority-Black electorate and Thompson's 30+ years of incumbency advantage—including superior fundraising—anchors trader consensus at 84.5% for Democrats. Eller, mounting his third bid after prior defeats, has garnered recent endorsements like state Agriculture Commissioner Andy Gipson's, but lacks polling evidence of traction amid the seat's historical 60%+ Democratic margins. The November 3 general election looms, with national midterm dynamics as a potential wildcard.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertMS-02 Wahlsieger
MS-02 Wahlsieger
$16,913 Vol.
$16,913 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
85%
Republikanische Partei
16%
$16,913 Vol.
$16,913 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
$9,591 Vol.
85%
Republikanische Partei
$7,321 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Bennie Thompson secured renomination in the March 10, 2026, primary for Mississippi's 2nd Congressional District, defeating two challengers en route to a likely 18th term against Republican Ron Eller, who won his party's nomination in a competitive runoff. The district's strong Democratic lean (Cook PVI D+11), driven by its majority-Black electorate and Thompson's 30+ years of incumbency advantage—including superior fundraising—anchors trader consensus at 84.5% for Democrats. Eller, mounting his third bid after prior defeats, has garnered recent endorsements like state Agriculture Commissioner Andy Gipson's, but lacks polling evidence of traction amid the seat's historical 60%+ Democratic margins. The November 3 general election looms, with national midterm dynamics as a potential wildcard.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volumen
$16,913Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Bennie Thompson secured renomination in the March 10, 2026, primary for Mississippi's 2nd Congressional District, defeating two challengers en route to a likely 18th term against Republican Ron Eller, who won his party's nomination in a competitive runoff. The district's strong Democratic lean (Cook PVI D+11), driven by its majority-Black electorate and Thompson's 30+ years of incumbency advantage—including superior fundraising—anchors trader consensus at 84.5% for Democrats. Eller, mounting his third bid after prior defeats, has garnered recent endorsements like state Agriculture Commissioner Andy Gipson's, but lacks polling evidence of traction amid the seat's historical 60%+ Democratic margins. The November 3 general election looms, with national midterm dynamics as a potential wildcard.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$16,913Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Bennie Thompson secured renomination in the March 10, 2026, primary for Mississippi's 2nd Congressional District, defeating two challengers en route to a likely 18th term against Republican Ron Eller, who won his party's nomination in a competitive runoff. The district's strong Democratic lean (Cook PVI D+11), driven by its majority-Black electorate and Thompson's 30+ years of incumbency advantage—including superior fundraising—anchors trader consensus at 84.5% for Democrats. Eller, mounting his third bid after prior defeats, has garnered recent endorsements like state Agriculture Commissioner Andy Gipson's, but lacks polling evidence of traction amid the seat's historical 60%+ Democratic margins. The November 3 general election looms, with national midterm dynamics as a potential wildcard.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen