Republican incumbent Tom Barrett holds Michigan's 7th Congressional District after a narrow 2024 victory in this battleground encompassing Clinton, Ingham, Livingston, and Shiawassee counties, but trader consensus prices a Democratic Party win at 86.5% amid midterm headwinds typically punishing the president's party—averaging 25 House seat losses historically. Recent November 2025 Public Policy Polling showed Democratic challengers Matt Maasdam and Bridget Brink leading Barrett by 4 points in a Trump-unfriendly district (his approval at 42%), positioning it as a top Democratic flip target. No major developments in the past 30 days, but competitive August 4 primaries loom, with fundraising already surpassing $7 million and Cook Political rating it a Toss Up, underscoring uncertainty despite the lopsided odds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertMI-07 Wahlsieger
MI-07 Wahlsieger
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
Demokratische Partei
87%
Republikanische Partei
11%
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
Demokratische Partei
$919 Vol.
87%
Republikanische Partei
$317 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Tom Barrett holds Michigan's 7th Congressional District after a narrow 2024 victory in this battleground encompassing Clinton, Ingham, Livingston, and Shiawassee counties, but trader consensus prices a Democratic Party win at 86.5% amid midterm headwinds typically punishing the president's party—averaging 25 House seat losses historically. Recent November 2025 Public Policy Polling showed Democratic challengers Matt Maasdam and Bridget Brink leading Barrett by 4 points in a Trump-unfriendly district (his approval at 42%), positioning it as a top Democratic flip target. No major developments in the past 30 days, but competitive August 4 primaries loom, with fundraising already surpassing $7 million and Cook Political rating it a Toss Up, underscoring uncertainty despite the lopsided odds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ET
Volumen
$1,236Enddatum
Nov 4, 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Tom Barrett holds Michigan's 7th Congressional District after a narrow 2024 victory in this battleground encompassing Clinton, Ingham, Livingston, and Shiawassee counties, but trader consensus prices a Democratic Party win at 86.5% amid midterm headwinds typically punishing the president's party—averaging 25 House seat losses historically. Recent November 2025 Public Policy Polling showed Democratic challengers Matt Maasdam and Bridget Brink leading Barrett by 4 points in a Trump-unfriendly district (his approval at 42%), positioning it as a top Democratic flip target. No major developments in the past 30 days, but competitive August 4 primaries loom, with fundraising already surpassing $7 million and Cook Political rating it a Toss Up, underscoring uncertainty despite the lopsided odds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$1,236Enddatum
Nov 4, 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Tom Barrett holds Michigan's 7th Congressional District after a narrow 2024 victory in this battleground encompassing Clinton, Ingham, Livingston, and Shiawassee counties, but trader consensus prices a Democratic Party win at 86.5% amid midterm headwinds typically punishing the president's party—averaging 25 House seat losses historically. Recent November 2025 Public Policy Polling showed Democratic challengers Matt Maasdam and Bridget Brink leading Barrett by 4 points in a Trump-unfriendly district (his approval at 42%), positioning it as a top Democratic flip target. No major developments in the past 30 days, but competitive August 4 primaries loom, with fundraising already surpassing $7 million and Cook Political rating it a Toss Up, underscoring uncertainty despite the lopsided odds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen