Incumbent Democrat Steve Cohen's commanding position in Tennessee's 9th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report with a D+23 partisan lean, drives trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic Party, reflecting the district's consistent 70%+ Democratic general election margins and Cohen's $1.8 million cash-on-hand advantage. Recent filing deadline on March 10 finalized weak Republican primary challengers like Charlotte Bergmann, who garnered just 26% in 2024, while Democratic primary foes including Justin Pearson pose limited threats given Cohen's 74% 2024 primary win. Scenarios to shift odds include a progressive primary upset, Cohen scandal or health issue, or national midterm wave boosting GOP turnout ahead of the August 6 primaries and November 3 general election.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertTN-09 Wahlsieger
TN-09 Wahlsieger
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Demokratische Partei
94%
Republikanische Partei
5%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Demokratische Partei
$0 Vol.
94%
Republikanische Partei
$0 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Steve Cohen's commanding position in Tennessee's 9th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report with a D+23 partisan lean, drives trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic Party, reflecting the district's consistent 70%+ Democratic general election margins and Cohen's $1.8 million cash-on-hand advantage. Recent filing deadline on March 10 finalized weak Republican primary challengers like Charlotte Bergmann, who garnered just 26% in 2024, while Democratic primary foes including Justin Pearson pose limited threats given Cohen's 74% 2024 primary win. Scenarios to shift odds include a progressive primary upset, Cohen scandal or health issue, or national midterm wave boosting GOP turnout ahead of the August 6 primaries and November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$0Enddatum
Nov 3, 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Steve Cohen's commanding position in Tennessee's 9th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report with a D+23 partisan lean, drives trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic Party, reflecting the district's consistent 70%+ Democratic general election margins and Cohen's $1.8 million cash-on-hand advantage. Recent filing deadline on March 10 finalized weak Republican primary challengers like Charlotte Bergmann, who garnered just 26% in 2024, while Democratic primary foes including Justin Pearson pose limited threats given Cohen's 74% 2024 primary win. Scenarios to shift odds include a progressive primary upset, Cohen scandal or health issue, or national midterm wave boosting GOP turnout ahead of the August 6 primaries and November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$0Enddatum
Nov 3, 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Steve Cohen's commanding position in Tennessee's 9th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report with a D+23 partisan lean, drives trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic Party, reflecting the district's consistent 70%+ Democratic general election margins and Cohen's $1.8 million cash-on-hand advantage. Recent filing deadline on March 10 finalized weak Republican primary challengers like Charlotte Bergmann, who garnered just 26% in 2024, while Democratic primary foes including Justin Pearson pose limited threats given Cohen's 74% 2024 primary win. Scenarios to shift odds include a progressive primary upset, Cohen scandal or health issue, or national midterm wave boosting GOP turnout ahead of the August 6 primaries and November 3 general election.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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