Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the Democratic Party at 74% to hold Ohio's 1st Congressional District, driven by incumbent Greg Landsman's dominant fundraising—over $1.8 million raised and $1.5 million cash on hand as of late 2025—coupled with his incumbency advantage and a February internal poll showing a 6-point districtwide lead over a generic Republican, rising to 20 points among independents. The Republican primary remains fragmented among four candidates, including top fundraisers Eric Conroy and Steven Erbeck, with no dominant frontrunner emerging from recent profiles, potentially weakening the eventual nominee ahead of the May 5 primaries. Despite redistricting creating an R+1 PVI toss-up per Cook Political Report, no fresh GOP catalysts have materialized in the past 30 days to challenge Landsman's edge.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertOH-01 Wahlsieger
OH-01 Wahlsieger
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
Demokratische Partei
74%
Republikanische Partei
20%
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
Demokratische Partei
$0 Vol.
74%
Republikanische Partei
$445 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the Democratic Party at 74% to hold Ohio's 1st Congressional District, driven by incumbent Greg Landsman's dominant fundraising—over $1.8 million raised and $1.5 million cash on hand as of late 2025—coupled with his incumbency advantage and a February internal poll showing a 6-point districtwide lead over a generic Republican, rising to 20 points among independents. The Republican primary remains fragmented among four candidates, including top fundraisers Eric Conroy and Steven Erbeck, with no dominant frontrunner emerging from recent profiles, potentially weakening the eventual nominee ahead of the May 5 primaries. Despite redistricting creating an R+1 PVI toss-up per Cook Political Report, no fresh GOP catalysts have materialized in the past 30 days to challenge Landsman's edge.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
Volumen
$445Enddatum
Nov 4, 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the Democratic Party at 74% to hold Ohio's 1st Congressional District, driven by incumbent Greg Landsman's dominant fundraising—over $1.8 million raised and $1.5 million cash on hand as of late 2025—coupled with his incumbency advantage and a February internal poll showing a 6-point districtwide lead over a generic Republican, rising to 20 points among independents. The Republican primary remains fragmented among four candidates, including top fundraisers Eric Conroy and Steven Erbeck, with no dominant frontrunner emerging from recent profiles, potentially weakening the eventual nominee ahead of the May 5 primaries. Despite redistricting creating an R+1 PVI toss-up per Cook Political Report, no fresh GOP catalysts have materialized in the past 30 days to challenge Landsman's edge.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$445Enddatum
Nov 4, 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the Democratic Party at 74% to hold Ohio's 1st Congressional District, driven by incumbent Greg Landsman's dominant fundraising—over $1.8 million raised and $1.5 million cash on hand as of late 2025—coupled with his incumbency advantage and a February internal poll showing a 6-point districtwide lead over a generic Republican, rising to 20 points among independents. The Republican primary remains fragmented among four candidates, including top fundraisers Eric Conroy and Steven Erbeck, with no dominant frontrunner emerging from recent profiles, potentially weakening the eventual nominee ahead of the May 5 primaries. Despite redistricting creating an R+1 PVI toss-up per Cook Political Report, no fresh GOP catalysts have materialized in the past 30 days to challenge Landsman's edge.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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