New Jersey's 1st congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+10 and the incumbent's consistent performance. Five-term Representative Donald Norcross faces Republican challenger Theodore Liddell in the November 2026 general election, following Norcross's 57.8% victory in 2024. Primary contests conclude in early June, with limited indications of significant shifts in voter registration or turnout patterns that would alter the district's baseline. Forecasters rate the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, underscoring the structural advantages for the majority party. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican wave could narrow margins, though historical data shows few comparable upsets in similarly composed districts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNJ-01 Wahlsieger
NJ-01 Wahlsieger
$19,401 Vol.
$19,401 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
93%
Republikanische Partei
8%
$19,401 Vol.
$19,401 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
$14,974 Vol.
93%
Republikanische Partei
$4,427 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New Jersey's 1st congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+10 and the incumbent's consistent performance. Five-term Representative Donald Norcross faces Republican challenger Theodore Liddell in the November 2026 general election, following Norcross's 57.8% victory in 2024. Primary contests conclude in early June, with limited indications of significant shifts in voter registration or turnout patterns that would alter the district's baseline. Forecasters rate the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, underscoring the structural advantages for the majority party. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican wave could narrow margins, though historical data shows few comparable upsets in similarly composed districts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volumen
$19,401Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New Jersey's 1st congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+10 and the incumbent's consistent performance. Five-term Representative Donald Norcross faces Republican challenger Theodore Liddell in the November 2026 general election, following Norcross's 57.8% victory in 2024. Primary contests conclude in early June, with limited indications of significant shifts in voter registration or turnout patterns that would alter the district's baseline. Forecasters rate the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, underscoring the structural advantages for the majority party. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican wave could narrow margins, though historical data shows few comparable upsets in similarly composed districts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$19,401Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New Jersey's 1st congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+10 and the incumbent's consistent performance. Five-term Representative Donald Norcross faces Republican challenger Theodore Liddell in the November 2026 general election, following Norcross's 57.8% victory in 2024. Primary contests conclude in early June, with limited indications of significant shifts in voter registration or turnout patterns that would alter the district's baseline. Forecasters rate the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, underscoring the structural advantages for the majority party. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican wave could narrow margins, though historical data shows few comparable upsets in similarly composed districts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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