Incumbent Rep. Mike Rogers (R) seeks reelection in Alabama's 3rd Congressional District, a solidly Republican seat with an R+23 Cook Partisan Voter Index, anchoring trader consensus at 93.5% for a GOP victory. Rogers, House Armed Services Committee chair since 2003, boasts over $2.3 million cash on hand after announcing his bid in January 2026, dwarfing challenger Terri LaPoint's $5,300 in the May 19 Republican primary and Democratic nominee Lee McInnis' $9,500. Race ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball label it Safe Republican amid historical blowouts, like Rogers' 98% 2024 win. Upsets could stem from a primary shock, Rogers scandal, health issue, or national Democratic wave boosting turnout, though barriers remain high pre-June 16 runoff and November 3 general election.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertAL-03 Wahlsieger
AL-03 Wahlsieger
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Republikanische Partei
94%
Demokratische Partei
7%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Republikanische Partei
$2,800 Vol.
94%
Demokratische Partei
$0 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Mike Rogers (R) seeks reelection in Alabama's 3rd Congressional District, a solidly Republican seat with an R+23 Cook Partisan Voter Index, anchoring trader consensus at 93.5% for a GOP victory. Rogers, House Armed Services Committee chair since 2003, boasts over $2.3 million cash on hand after announcing his bid in January 2026, dwarfing challenger Terri LaPoint's $5,300 in the May 19 Republican primary and Democratic nominee Lee McInnis' $9,500. Race ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball label it Safe Republican amid historical blowouts, like Rogers' 98% 2024 win. Upsets could stem from a primary shock, Rogers scandal, health issue, or national Democratic wave boosting turnout, though barriers remain high pre-June 16 runoff and November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Volumen
$2,800Enddatum
Nov 3, 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Mike Rogers (R) seeks reelection in Alabama's 3rd Congressional District, a solidly Republican seat with an R+23 Cook Partisan Voter Index, anchoring trader consensus at 93.5% for a GOP victory. Rogers, House Armed Services Committee chair since 2003, boasts over $2.3 million cash on hand after announcing his bid in January 2026, dwarfing challenger Terri LaPoint's $5,300 in the May 19 Republican primary and Democratic nominee Lee McInnis' $9,500. Race ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball label it Safe Republican amid historical blowouts, like Rogers' 98% 2024 win. Upsets could stem from a primary shock, Rogers scandal, health issue, or national Democratic wave boosting turnout, though barriers remain high pre-June 16 runoff and November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$2,800Enddatum
Nov 3, 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Mike Rogers (R) seeks reelection in Alabama's 3rd Congressional District, a solidly Republican seat with an R+23 Cook Partisan Voter Index, anchoring trader consensus at 93.5% for a GOP victory. Rogers, House Armed Services Committee chair since 2003, boasts over $2.3 million cash on hand after announcing his bid in January 2026, dwarfing challenger Terri LaPoint's $5,300 in the May 19 Republican primary and Democratic nominee Lee McInnis' $9,500. Race ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball label it Safe Republican amid historical blowouts, like Rogers' 98% 2024 win. Upsets could stem from a primary shock, Rogers scandal, health issue, or national Democratic wave boosting turnout, though barriers remain high pre-June 16 runoff and November 3 general election.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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