Oklahoma's 3rd Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+23, where long-serving incumbent Frank Lucas has held office since a 1994 special election. Recent candidate filings ahead of the June 16 primary show Lucas facing a low-profile challenger in Wade Burleson while Democrats field minimally funded candidates Suzie Byrd and Jules Roberson, aligning with historical patterns of high incumbency retention in safe districts. Major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting consistent voter trends in western Oklahoma's rural and conservative areas. Trader consensus at 93.5% for a Republican win accounts for these structural advantages, though a primary upset, unexpected scandal, or unusually strong national Democratic performance could still alter the outcome before the November general election.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertOK-03 Wahlsieger
OK-03 Wahlsieger
$84,090 Vol.
$84,090 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
94%
Demokratische Partei
4%
$84,090 Vol.
$84,090 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
$46,181 Vol.
94%
Demokratische Partei
$37,909 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oklahoma's 3rd Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+23, where long-serving incumbent Frank Lucas has held office since a 1994 special election. Recent candidate filings ahead of the June 16 primary show Lucas facing a low-profile challenger in Wade Burleson while Democrats field minimally funded candidates Suzie Byrd and Jules Roberson, aligning with historical patterns of high incumbency retention in safe districts. Major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting consistent voter trends in western Oklahoma's rural and conservative areas. Trader consensus at 93.5% for a Republican win accounts for these structural advantages, though a primary upset, unexpected scandal, or unusually strong national Democratic performance could still alter the outcome before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$84,090Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oklahoma's 3rd Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+23, where long-serving incumbent Frank Lucas has held office since a 1994 special election. Recent candidate filings ahead of the June 16 primary show Lucas facing a low-profile challenger in Wade Burleson while Democrats field minimally funded candidates Suzie Byrd and Jules Roberson, aligning with historical patterns of high incumbency retention in safe districts. Major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting consistent voter trends in western Oklahoma's rural and conservative areas. Trader consensus at 93.5% for a Republican win accounts for these structural advantages, though a primary upset, unexpected scandal, or unusually strong national Democratic performance could still alter the outcome before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$84,090Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oklahoma's 3rd Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+23, where long-serving incumbent Frank Lucas has held office since a 1994 special election. Recent candidate filings ahead of the June 16 primary show Lucas facing a low-profile challenger in Wade Burleson while Democrats field minimally funded candidates Suzie Byrd and Jules Roberson, aligning with historical patterns of high incumbency retention in safe districts. Major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting consistent voter trends in western Oklahoma's rural and conservative areas. Trader consensus at 93.5% for a Republican win accounts for these structural advantages, though a primary upset, unexpected scandal, or unusually strong national Democratic performance could still alter the outcome before the November general election.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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