Incumbent Republican Bill Hagerty's bid for a second term anchors trader consensus in the Tennessee Senate race, reflecting the state's consistent Republican voting patterns and the absence of a Democratic Senate victory since 1990. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, citing Hagerty's established fundraising advantage and name recognition ahead of the August 6 primary and November 3 general election. This structural edge produces the current 95.4% Republican implied probability. A shift could occur if Democrats field an unusually strong nominee, a national midterm wave favors the opposition party, or unforeseen developments such as candidate health issues or legal matters reshape the campaign environment before Election Day.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$19,651 Vol.
$19,651 Vol.

Republikaner
95%

Demokrat
2%
$19,651 Vol.
$19,651 Vol.

Republikaner
95%

Demokrat
2%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Markt eröffnet: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Bill Hagerty's bid for a second term anchors trader consensus in the Tennessee Senate race, reflecting the state's consistent Republican voting patterns and the absence of a Democratic Senate victory since 1990. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, citing Hagerty's established fundraising advantage and name recognition ahead of the August 6 primary and November 3 general election. This structural edge produces the current 95.4% Republican implied probability. A shift could occur if Democrats field an unusually strong nominee, a national midterm wave favors the opposition party, or unforeseen developments such as candidate health issues or legal matters reshape the campaign environment before Election Day.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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