Recent opinion polls ahead of Sweden’s September 2026 parliamentary election show the Social Democratic Party maintaining a clear lead near 32–34 percent, leaving the Moderate Party and Sweden Democrats closely matched in the low-to-mid teens for second and third place. The two right-of-center parties remain neck-and-neck amid stable voter preferences on migration and crime, while recent agreements expanding Sweden Democrat influence within the Tidö bloc have not yet produced measurable polling shifts. Smaller parties, including the Left, Greens, Centre, Christian Democrats, Liberals, and Citizens’ Coalition, continue to register single-digit or lower support and face structural barriers to climbing into third. Traders therefore price the Moderate Party highest for third place, followed by the Sweden Democrats, reflecting the narrow but persistent gap between these two contenders.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertModerate Party (M) 51%
Sweden Democrats (SD) 31%
Citizens' Coalition (MED) 3.6%
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) 3.2%
NEU
NEU
13. Sep. 2026
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
3%
Sweden Democrats (SD)
31%
Moderate Party (M)
51%
Centre Party (C)
1%
Left Party (V)
2%
Christian Democrats (KD)
1%
Green Party (MP)
2%
Liberals (L)
1%
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
4%
Moderate Party (M) 51%
Sweden Democrats (SD) 31%
Citizens' Coalition (MED) 3.6%
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) 3.2%
NEU
NEU
13. Sep. 2026
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
$362 Vol.
3%
Sweden Democrats (SD)
$500 Vol.
31%
Moderate Party (M)
$425 Vol.
51%
Centre Party (C)
$649 Vol.
1%
Left Party (V)
$622 Vol.
2%
Christian Democrats (KD)
$636 Vol.
1%
Green Party (MP)
$579 Vol.
2%
Liberals (L)
$552 Vol.
1%
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
$735 Vol.
4%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent opinion polls ahead of Sweden’s September 2026 parliamentary election show the Social Democratic Party maintaining a clear lead near 32–34 percent, leaving the Moderate Party and Sweden Democrats closely matched in the low-to-mid teens for second and third place. The two right-of-center parties remain neck-and-neck amid stable voter preferences on migration and crime, while recent agreements expanding Sweden Democrat influence within the Tidö bloc have not yet produced measurable polling shifts. Smaller parties, including the Left, Greens, Centre, Christian Democrats, Liberals, and Citizens’ Coalition, continue to register single-digit or lower support and face structural barriers to climbing into third. Traders therefore price the Moderate Party highest for third place, followed by the Sweden Democrats, reflecting the narrow but persistent gap between these two contenders.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Markt eröffnet: May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ET
Volumen
$5,061Enddatum
13. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent opinion polls ahead of Sweden’s September 2026 parliamentary election show the Social Democratic Party maintaining a clear lead near 32–34 percent, leaving the Moderate Party and Sweden Democrats closely matched in the low-to-mid teens for second and third place. The two right-of-center parties remain neck-and-neck amid stable voter preferences on migration and crime, while recent agreements expanding Sweden Democrat influence within the Tidö bloc have not yet produced measurable polling shifts. Smaller parties, including the Left, Greens, Centre, Christian Democrats, Liberals, and Citizens’ Coalition, continue to register single-digit or lower support and face structural barriers to climbing into third. Traders therefore price the Moderate Party highest for third place, followed by the Sweden Democrats, reflecting the narrow but persistent gap between these two contenders.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volumen
$5,061Enddatum
13. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent opinion polls ahead of Sweden’s September 2026 parliamentary election show the Social Democratic Party maintaining a clear lead near 32–34 percent, leaving the Moderate Party and Sweden Democrats closely matched in the low-to-mid teens for second and third place. The two right-of-center parties remain neck-and-neck amid stable voter preferences on migration and crime, while recent agreements expanding Sweden Democrat influence within the Tidö bloc have not yet produced measurable polling shifts. Smaller parties, including the Left, Greens, Centre, Christian Democrats, Liberals, and Citizens’ Coalition, continue to register single-digit or lower support and face structural barriers to climbing into third. Traders therefore price the Moderate Party highest for third place, followed by the Sweden Democrats, reflecting the narrow but persistent gap between these two contenders.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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