Florida's 2026 special Senate election features Republican incumbent Ashley Moody, appointed to complete Marco Rubio's term after his resignation for a cabinet role, against the winner of the August 18 Democratic primary between Alex Vindman and Angie Nixon. Moody holds a consistent double-digit lead in recent polls against both potential opponents in the Republican-leaning state, where Democrats have not won a Senate race since 2012. Primary election timing, Moody's fundraising and name recognition as attorney general, and Florida's partisan voting patterns underpin trader consensus on the Republican outcome ahead of the November general.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$64,257 Vol.
$64,257 Vol.

Republikaner
90%

Demokrat
11%
$64,257 Vol.
$64,257 Vol.

Republikaner
90%

Demokrat
11%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Markt eröffnet: Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 2026 special Senate election features Republican incumbent Ashley Moody, appointed to complete Marco Rubio's term after his resignation for a cabinet role, against the winner of the August 18 Democratic primary between Alex Vindman and Angie Nixon. Moody holds a consistent double-digit lead in recent polls against both potential opponents in the Republican-leaning state, where Democrats have not won a Senate race since 2012. Primary election timing, Moody's fundraising and name recognition as attorney general, and Florida's partisan voting patterns underpin trader consensus on the Republican outcome ahead of the November general.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


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