Scott Wiener leads trader pricing in the CA-11 general election at 61.5% implied probability, ahead of Connie Chan at 40.5%, following the June 2026 top-two primary where Wiener captured 40.7% and Chan 29.7% of the vote in the open seat vacated by retiring Representative Nancy Pelosi. Wiener benefits from stronger fundraising totals, the state Democratic Party endorsement, and a record of advancing housing and LGBTQ-related legislation as a state senator. Chan, endorsed by Pelosi and backed by independent expenditures from eliminated primary candidate Saikat Chakrabarti, draws support from progressive San Francisco voters. The heavily Democratic district (Cook PVI D+36) ensures the November 3 general will decide the winner between these two candidates, with no Republican advancing. Recent campaign finance reports and early positioning underscore Wiener’s edge in name recognition and resources entering the final stretch.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNEU
NEU
3. Nov. 2026
Scott Wiener
62%
Connie Chan
41%
NEU
NEU
3. Nov. 2026
Scott Wiener
$1,472 Vol.
62%
Connie Chan
$1,238 Vol.
41%
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Scott Wiener leads trader pricing in the CA-11 general election at 61.5% implied probability, ahead of Connie Chan at 40.5%, following the June 2026 top-two primary where Wiener captured 40.7% and Chan 29.7% of the vote in the open seat vacated by retiring Representative Nancy Pelosi. Wiener benefits from stronger fundraising totals, the state Democratic Party endorsement, and a record of advancing housing and LGBTQ-related legislation as a state senator. Chan, endorsed by Pelosi and backed by independent expenditures from eliminated primary candidate Saikat Chakrabarti, draws support from progressive San Francisco voters. The heavily Democratic district (Cook PVI D+36) ensures the November 3 general will decide the winner between these two candidates, with no Republican advancing. Recent campaign finance reports and early positioning underscore Wiener’s edge in name recognition and resources entering the final stretch.
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jul 9, 2026, 10:00 PM ET
Volumen
$2,710Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 9, 2026, 10:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Scott Wiener leads trader pricing in the CA-11 general election at 61.5% implied probability, ahead of Connie Chan at 40.5%, following the June 2026 top-two primary where Wiener captured 40.7% and Chan 29.7% of the vote in the open seat vacated by retiring Representative Nancy Pelosi. Wiener benefits from stronger fundraising totals, the state Democratic Party endorsement, and a record of advancing housing and LGBTQ-related legislation as a state senator. Chan, endorsed by Pelosi and backed by independent expenditures from eliminated primary candidate Saikat Chakrabarti, draws support from progressive San Francisco voters. The heavily Democratic district (Cook PVI D+36) ensures the November 3 general will decide the winner between these two candidates, with no Republican advancing. Recent campaign finance reports and early positioning underscore Wiener’s edge in name recognition and resources entering the final stretch.
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$2,710Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 9, 2026, 10:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Scott Wiener leads trader pricing in the CA-11 general election at 61.5% implied probability, ahead of Connie Chan at 40.5%, following the June 2026 top-two primary where Wiener captured 40.7% and Chan 29.7% of the vote in the open seat vacated by retiring Representative Nancy Pelosi. Wiener benefits from stronger fundraising totals, the state Democratic Party endorsement, and a record of advancing housing and LGBTQ-related legislation as a state senator. Chan, endorsed by Pelosi and backed by independent expenditures from eliminated primary candidate Saikat Chakrabarti, draws support from progressive San Francisco voters. The heavily Democratic district (Cook PVI D+36) ensures the November 3 general will decide the winner between these two candidates, with no Republican advancing. Recent campaign finance reports and early positioning underscore Wiener’s edge in name recognition and resources entering the final stretch.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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