Incumbent Republican Sen. Cynthia Lummis's commanding 92% trader consensus in the Wyoming Senate election stems from the state's deep Republican lean—R+25 Cook Partisan Voting Index—and her dominant 2020 victory by 52 points, with primaries concluding August 20 confirming her unopposed nomination against Democrat Scott Morrow. Sparse July polling showed Lummis at 59% to Morrow's 26%, aligning with Wyoming's history of no Democratic Senate win since the 1970s and Trump carrying the state by 43 points in 2020. Absent major catalysts like a Lummis scandal or unforeseen national Democratic surge, traders see minimal upset risk ahead of November 5 voting.
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Republikaner
92%

Demokrat
8%

Republikaner
92%

Demokrat
8%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Markt eröffnet: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Sen. Cynthia Lummis's commanding 92% trader consensus in the Wyoming Senate election stems from the state's deep Republican lean—R+25 Cook Partisan Voting Index—and her dominant 2020 victory by 52 points, with primaries concluding August 20 confirming her unopposed nomination against Democrat Scott Morrow. Sparse July polling showed Lummis at 59% to Morrow's 26%, aligning with Wyoming's history of no Democratic Senate win since the 1970s and Trump carrying the state by 43 points in 2020. Absent major catalysts like a Lummis scandal or unforeseen national Democratic surge, traders see minimal upset risk ahead of November 5 voting.
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