The Michigan U.S. Senate race features an open seat after incumbent Democrat Gary Peters declined to seek a third term, drawing a competitive Democratic primary field headlined by U.S. Representative Haley Stevens, state Senator Mallory McMorrow, and former health official Abdul El-Sayed ahead of the August 4 contest. Former Representative Mike Rogers stands as the clear Republican frontrunner following his narrow 2024 loss in the state. Trader consensus placing the eventual Democratic nominee at 74 percent reflects the party's recent success defending Michigan Senate seats, the state's mixed partisan environment, and expectations that a unified Democratic effort will prevail in the November general election despite Republican gains in the 2024 presidential contest. No major late-breaking developments have shifted positioning in recent weeks, leaving primary outcomes and subsequent general-election polling as the primary variables that could alter probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$113,805 Vol.
$113,805 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokrat
74%
Republikaner
27%
$113,805 Vol.
$113,805 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokrat
$81,847 Vol.
74%
Republikaner
$31,958 Vol.
27%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The Michigan U.S. Senate race features an open seat after incumbent Democrat Gary Peters declined to seek a third term, drawing a competitive Democratic primary field headlined by U.S. Representative Haley Stevens, state Senator Mallory McMorrow, and former health official Abdul El-Sayed ahead of the August 4 contest. Former Representative Mike Rogers stands as the clear Republican frontrunner following his narrow 2024 loss in the state. Trader consensus placing the eventual Democratic nominee at 74 percent reflects the party's recent success defending Michigan Senate seats, the state's mixed partisan environment, and expectations that a unified Democratic effort will prevail in the November general election despite Republican gains in the 2024 presidential contest. No major late-breaking developments have shifted positioning in recent weeks, leaving primary outcomes and subsequent general-election polling as the primary variables that could alter probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Markt eröffnet: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Volumen
$113,805Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The Michigan U.S. Senate race features an open seat after incumbent Democrat Gary Peters declined to seek a third term, drawing a competitive Democratic primary field headlined by U.S. Representative Haley Stevens, state Senator Mallory McMorrow, and former health official Abdul El-Sayed ahead of the August 4 contest. Former Representative Mike Rogers stands as the clear Republican frontrunner following his narrow 2024 loss in the state. Trader consensus placing the eventual Democratic nominee at 74 percent reflects the party's recent success defending Michigan Senate seats, the state's mixed partisan environment, and expectations that a unified Democratic effort will prevail in the November general election despite Republican gains in the 2024 presidential contest. No major late-breaking developments have shifted positioning in recent weeks, leaving primary outcomes and subsequent general-election polling as the primary variables that could alter probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$113,805Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Michigan U.S. Senate race features an open seat after incumbent Democrat Gary Peters declined to seek a third term, drawing a competitive Democratic primary field headlined by U.S. Representative Haley Stevens, state Senator Mallory McMorrow, and former health official Abdul El-Sayed ahead of the August 4 contest. Former Representative Mike Rogers stands as the clear Republican frontrunner following his narrow 2024 loss in the state. Trader consensus placing the eventual Democratic nominee at 74 percent reflects the party's recent success defending Michigan Senate seats, the state's mixed partisan environment, and expectations that a unified Democratic effort will prevail in the November general election despite Republican gains in the 2024 presidential contest. No major late-breaking developments have shifted positioning in recent weeks, leaving primary outcomes and subsequent general-election polling as the primary variables that could alter probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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