Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Democrat Mary Peltola at 60.5% to unseat incumbent Republican Sen. Dan Sullivan at 32.5% in Alaska's 2026 U.S. Senate race, reflecting recent Alaska Survey Research polling showing her leading by five points head-to-head amid Sullivan's negative approval above 50%. Peltola's favorability has climbed to 48.5% with strong Q1 fundraising—nearly $9 million raised, quadruple Sullivan's haul—bolstering her challenge in the state's top-four jungle primary on August 18 and subsequent ranked-choice voting general on November 3. Her May 11 affordability platform launch targets key voter concerns like costs, while minor candidates like Dustin Darden, Ann Diener, and Richard Grayson trail far behind, unlikely to advance. The race remains competitive, with RCV potentially amplifying Peltola's crossover appeal from prior House wins.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertMary Peltola 61%
Dan Sullivan 33%
Dustin Darden <1%
Ann Diener <1%
$322,913 Vol.
$322,913 Vol.

Mary Peltola
61%

Dan Sullivan
33%

Dustin Darden
<1%

Ann Diener
<1%

Richard Grayson
<1%
Mary Peltola 61%
Dan Sullivan 33%
Dustin Darden <1%
Ann Diener <1%
$322,913 Vol.
$322,913 Vol.

Mary Peltola
61%

Dan Sullivan
33%

Dustin Darden
<1%

Ann Diener
<1%

Richard Grayson
<1%
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Markt eröffnet: Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Democrat Mary Peltola at 60.5% to unseat incumbent Republican Sen. Dan Sullivan at 32.5% in Alaska's 2026 U.S. Senate race, reflecting recent Alaska Survey Research polling showing her leading by five points head-to-head amid Sullivan's negative approval above 50%. Peltola's favorability has climbed to 48.5% with strong Q1 fundraising—nearly $9 million raised, quadruple Sullivan's haul—bolstering her challenge in the state's top-four jungle primary on August 18 and subsequent ranked-choice voting general on November 3. Her May 11 affordability platform launch targets key voter concerns like costs, while minor candidates like Dustin Darden, Ann Diener, and Richard Grayson trail far behind, unlikely to advance. The race remains competitive, with RCV potentially amplifying Peltola's crossover appeal from prior House wins.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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