Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Labor Secretary Lori Chavez-DeRemer as the next Trump cabinet member to depart, driven by an escalating inspector general investigation at the Department of Labor into alleged misconduct by her and top aides. Over the past month, four senior staffers—including two chiefs of staff forced to resign on March 3 after a White House ultimatum, a security detail member quitting amid affair claims on March 20, and a director of advance fired last week—have exited amid probes of travel fraud, misuse of taxpayer funds for personal trips, and a hostile workplace. These developments have eroded her position, contrasting with milder rumors around DNI Tulsi Gabbard and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth, while "None before 2027" odds remain low amid broader administration shakeups like Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem's prior exit. Outcomes hinge on probe findings and potential congressional scrutiny.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertLori Chavez-DeRemer 59%
Tulsi Gabbard 10.8%
Pete Hegseth 10.4%
Niemand vor 2027 6.4%
$1,573,203 Vol.
$1,573,203 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Lori Chavez-DeRemer
59%
Tulsi Gabbard
11%
Pete Hegseth
10%
Niemand vor 2027
6%
Lee Zeldin
3%
Mike Waltz
3%
Scott Bessent
2%
Brooke Rollins
1%
Sean Duffy
1%
J.D. Vance
1%
Pam Bondi
1%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
1%
Howard Lutnick
1%
Linda McMahon
1%
Scott Turner
1%
Susie Wiles
1%
John Ratcliffe
1%
Russell T. Vought
1%
Chris Wright
1%
Marco Rubio
1%
Doug Collins
1%
Kelly Loeffler
<1%
Jamieson Greer
<1%
Doug Burgum
<1%
Lori Chavez-DeRemer 59%
Tulsi Gabbard 10.8%
Pete Hegseth 10.4%
Niemand vor 2027 6.4%
$1,573,203 Vol.
$1,573,203 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Lori Chavez-DeRemer
$73,219 Vol.
59%
Tulsi Gabbard
$693,886 Vol.
11%
Pete Hegseth
$352,251 Vol.
10%
Niemand vor 2027
$188,975 Vol.
6%
Lee Zeldin
$49,978 Vol.
3%
Mike Waltz
$4,298 Vol.
3%
Scott Bessent
$4,568 Vol.
2%
Brooke Rollins
$6,623 Vol.
1%
Sean Duffy
$63,962 Vol.
1%
J.D. Vance
$7,171 Vol.
1%
Pam Bondi
$3,967 Vol.
1%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
$3,560 Vol.
1%
Howard Lutnick
$26,010 Vol.
1%
Linda McMahon
$9,797 Vol.
1%
Scott Turner
$5,472 Vol.
1%
Susie Wiles
$4,687 Vol.
1%
John Ratcliffe
$3,998 Vol.
1%
Russell T. Vought
$3,910 Vol.
1%
Chris Wright
$3,792 Vol.
1%
Marco Rubio
$50,374 Vol.
1%
Doug Collins
$3,258 Vol.
1%
Kelly Loeffler
$3,705 Vol.
<1%
Jamieson Greer
$4,507 Vol.
<1%
Doug Burgum
$5,787 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.
An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.
If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.
For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.
An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.
If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Labor Secretary Lori Chavez-DeRemer as the next Trump cabinet member to depart, driven by an escalating inspector general investigation at the Department of Labor into alleged misconduct by her and top aides. Over the past month, four senior staffers—including two chiefs of staff forced to resign on March 3 after a White House ultimatum, a security detail member quitting amid affair claims on March 20, and a director of advance fired last week—have exited amid probes of travel fraud, misuse of taxpayer funds for personal trips, and a hostile workplace. These developments have eroded her position, contrasting with milder rumors around DNI Tulsi Gabbard and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth, while "None before 2027" odds remain low amid broader administration shakeups like Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem's prior exit. Outcomes hinge on probe findings and potential congressional scrutiny.
This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.
An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.
If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.
For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.
An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.
If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.
If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.
For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.
An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.
If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 6, 2026, 9:46 AM ET
Volumen
$1,573,203Enddatum
Dec 31, 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 6, 2026, 9:46 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.
An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.
If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.
For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.
An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.
If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Labor Secretary Lori Chavez-DeRemer as the next Trump cabinet member to depart, driven by an escalating inspector general investigation at the Department of Labor into alleged misconduct by her and top aides. Over the past month, four senior staffers—including two chiefs of staff forced to resign on March 3 after a White House ultimatum, a security detail member quitting amid affair claims on March 20, and a director of advance fired last week—have exited amid probes of travel fraud, misuse of taxpayer funds for personal trips, and a hostile workplace. These developments have eroded her position, contrasting with milder rumors around DNI Tulsi Gabbard and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth, while "None before 2027" odds remain low amid broader administration shakeups like Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem's prior exit. Outcomes hinge on probe findings and potential congressional scrutiny.
This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.
An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.
If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.
For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.
An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.
If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.
If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.
For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.
An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.
If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
Volumen
$1,573,203Enddatum
Dec 31, 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 6, 2026, 9:46 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Labor Secretary Lori Chavez-DeRemer as the next Trump cabinet member to depart, driven by an escalating inspector general investigation at the Department of Labor into alleged misconduct by her and top aides. Over the past month, four senior staffers—including two chiefs of staff forced to resign on March 3 after a White House ultimatum, a security detail member quitting amid affair claims on March 20, and a director of advance fired last week—have exited amid probes of travel fraud, misuse of taxpayer funds for personal trips, and a hostile workplace. These developments have eroded her position, contrasting with milder rumors around DNI Tulsi Gabbard and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth, while "None before 2027" odds remain low amid broader administration shakeups like Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem's prior exit. Outcomes hinge on probe findings and potential congressional scrutiny.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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