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Wer wird die Trump-Administration vor 2027 verlassen?

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Wer wird die Trump-Administration vor 2027 verlassen?

Dec 31

Dec 31

$320,275 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$320,275 Vol.

Polymarket

Kristi Noem

$11,590 Vol.

45%

Pam Bondi

$35,421 Vol.

45%

Dan Scavino

$1 Vol.

40%

John Ratcliffe

$1 Vol.

39%

David Sacks

$0 Vol.

39%

Tulsi Gabbard

$1,515 Vol.

37%

Karoline Leavitt

$6,938 Vol.

40%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

$60,476 Vol.

34%

Howard Lutnick

$27,306 Vol.

34%

Kash Patel

$111,331 Vol.

33%

Susie Wiles

$31,065 Vol.

26%

Pete Hegseth

$3,566 Vol.

27%

Stephen Miller

$457 Vol.

22%

Scott Bessent

$356 Vol.

18%

Marco Rubio

$1,692 Vol.

16%

Lee Zeldin

$23,265 Vol.

13%

Tom Homan

$28 Vol.

17%

Russell Vought

$124 Vol.

16%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
Volumen
$320,275
Enddatum
Dec 31, 2026
Markt eröffnet
Nov 5, 2025, 12:34 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Wer wird die Trump-Administration vor 2027 verlassen?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 19 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Dan Bongino" at 100%, followed by "Kristi Noem" at 45%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Wer wird die Trump-Administration vor 2027 verlassen?" has generated $320.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 5, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Wer wird die Trump-Administration vor 2027 verlassen?," browse the 19 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Wer wird die Trump-Administration vor 2027 verlassen?" is "Dan Bongino" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Kristi Noem" at 45%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Wer wird die Trump-Administration vor 2027 verlassen?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.