Incumbent Republican Michael Cloud holds a commanding position in Texas's 27th congressional district heading into the November 3 general election, reflected in the trader consensus favoring him at 91.3% versus Democrat Tanya Lloyd at 8.1%. Cloud secured his party's nomination decisively in the March primary and benefits from the district's established Republican tilt, demonstrated by prior election margins and consistent ratings as solid or safe Republican from forecasters. Lloyd, a public school teacher, advanced from her primary but faces structural challenges in a coastal and rural area with limited Democratic support. No major developments since the primaries have altered the landscape, though late-cycle national shifts, turnout variations, or unforeseen candidate issues could narrow the gap in this low-competition environment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedTX-27 House Election Winner
TX-27 House Election Winner
$40,651 Vol.
$40,651 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Michael Cloud (R)
91%
Tanya Lloyd (D)
8%
$40,651 Vol.
$40,651 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Michael Cloud (R)
$25,521 Vol.
91%
Tanya Lloyd (D)
$15,130 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Michael Cloud holds a commanding position in Texas's 27th congressional district heading into the November 3 general election, reflected in the trader consensus favoring him at 91.3% versus Democrat Tanya Lloyd at 8.1%. Cloud secured his party's nomination decisively in the March primary and benefits from the district's established Republican tilt, demonstrated by prior election margins and consistent ratings as solid or safe Republican from forecasters. Lloyd, a public school teacher, advanced from her primary but faces structural challenges in a coastal and rural area with limited Democratic support. No major developments since the primaries have altered the landscape, though late-cycle national shifts, turnout variations, or unforeseen candidate issues could narrow the gap in this low-competition environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$40,651End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Michael Cloud holds a commanding position in Texas's 27th congressional district heading into the November 3 general election, reflected in the trader consensus favoring him at 91.3% versus Democrat Tanya Lloyd at 8.1%. Cloud secured his party's nomination decisively in the March primary and benefits from the district's established Republican tilt, demonstrated by prior election margins and consistent ratings as solid or safe Republican from forecasters. Lloyd, a public school teacher, advanced from her primary but faces structural challenges in a coastal and rural area with limited Democratic support. No major developments since the primaries have altered the landscape, though late-cycle national shifts, turnout variations, or unforeseen candidate issues could narrow the gap in this low-competition environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$40,651End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Michael Cloud holds a commanding position in Texas's 27th congressional district heading into the November 3 general election, reflected in the trader consensus favoring him at 91.3% versus Democrat Tanya Lloyd at 8.1%. Cloud secured his party's nomination decisively in the March primary and benefits from the district's established Republican tilt, demonstrated by prior election margins and consistent ratings as solid or safe Republican from forecasters. Lloyd, a public school teacher, advanced from her primary but faces structural challenges in a coastal and rural area with limited Democratic support. No major developments since the primaries have altered the landscape, though late-cycle national shifts, turnout variations, or unforeseen candidate issues could narrow the gap in this low-competition environment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions