Sam Liccardo, the Democratic incumbent and former San Jose mayor, holds a commanding position in California's 16th congressional district heading into the June 2 top-two primary and November general election. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+26, reflecting consistent Democratic advantages in presidential and recent House voting. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, with limited Republican primary challengers failing to generate competitive momentum. Trader consensus at 92.5% for Democrats reflects this structural edge, consistent with the district's recent results and the absence of major shifts in voter registration or turnout patterns that would alter the baseline. A significant national political realignment or unforeseen candidate development could narrow the gap, though such factors have not materialized in the current cycle.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$76,668 거래량
$76,668 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
93%
공화당
7%
$76,668 거래량
$76,668 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$49,124 거래량
93%
공화당
$27,544 거래량
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Sam Liccardo, the Democratic incumbent and former San Jose mayor, holds a commanding position in California's 16th congressional district heading into the June 2 top-two primary and November general election. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+26, reflecting consistent Democratic advantages in presidential and recent House voting. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, with limited Republican primary challengers failing to generate competitive momentum. Trader consensus at 92.5% for Democrats reflects this structural edge, consistent with the district's recent results and the absence of major shifts in voter registration or turnout patterns that would alter the baseline. A significant national political realignment or unforeseen candidate development could narrow the gap, though such factors have not materialized in the current cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
거래량
$76,668종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Sam Liccardo, the Democratic incumbent and former San Jose mayor, holds a commanding position in California's 16th congressional district heading into the June 2 top-two primary and November general election. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+26, reflecting consistent Democratic advantages in presidential and recent House voting. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, with limited Republican primary challengers failing to generate competitive momentum. Trader consensus at 92.5% for Democrats reflects this structural edge, consistent with the district's recent results and the absence of major shifts in voter registration or turnout patterns that would alter the baseline. A significant national political realignment or unforeseen candidate development could narrow the gap, though such factors have not materialized in the current cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$76,668종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Sam Liccardo, the Democratic incumbent and former San Jose mayor, holds a commanding position in California's 16th congressional district heading into the June 2 top-two primary and November general election. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+26, reflecting consistent Democratic advantages in presidential and recent House voting. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, with limited Republican primary challengers failing to generate competitive momentum. Trader consensus at 92.5% for Democrats reflects this structural edge, consistent with the district's recent results and the absence of major shifts in voter registration or turnout patterns that would alter the baseline. A significant national political realignment or unforeseen candidate development could narrow the gap, though such factors have not materialized in the current cycle.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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