The Wisconsin 5th congressional district's R+11 partisan voter index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, including the incumbent's 64.5% margin in 2024, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 80.5%. Scott Fitzgerald faces no primary opposition ahead of the August 11 contest and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, while Democratic primary contenders Andrew Beck and Ben Steinhoff operate in a low-visibility race rated solid or safe Republican by nonpartisan analysts. These structural factors, combined with limited recent polling shifts or national developments capable of altering the district's trajectory before the November 3 general election, sustain the current implied probabilities while allowing modest scope for late-cycle changes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição da Casa WI-05
Vencedor da eleição da Casa WI-05
$15,298 Vol.
$15,298 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
81%
Partido Democrata
14%
$15,298 Vol.
$15,298 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$11,883 Vol.
81%
Partido Democrata
$3,415 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Wisconsin 5th congressional district's R+11 partisan voter index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, including the incumbent's 64.5% margin in 2024, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 80.5%. Scott Fitzgerald faces no primary opposition ahead of the August 11 contest and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, while Democratic primary contenders Andrew Beck and Ben Steinhoff operate in a low-visibility race rated solid or safe Republican by nonpartisan analysts. These structural factors, combined with limited recent polling shifts or national developments capable of altering the district's trajectory before the November 3 general election, sustain the current implied probabilities while allowing modest scope for late-cycle changes.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$15,298Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Wisconsin 5th congressional district's R+11 partisan voter index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, including the incumbent's 64.5% margin in 2024, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 80.5%. Scott Fitzgerald faces no primary opposition ahead of the August 11 contest and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, while Democratic primary contenders Andrew Beck and Ben Steinhoff operate in a low-visibility race rated solid or safe Republican by nonpartisan analysts. These structural factors, combined with limited recent polling shifts or national developments capable of altering the district's trajectory before the November 3 general election, sustain the current implied probabilities while allowing modest scope for late-cycle changes.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$15,298Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Wisconsin 5th congressional district's R+11 partisan voter index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, including the incumbent's 64.5% margin in 2024, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 80.5%. Scott Fitzgerald faces no primary opposition ahead of the August 11 contest and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, while Democratic primary contenders Andrew Beck and Ben Steinhoff operate in a low-visibility race rated solid or safe Republican by nonpartisan analysts. These structural factors, combined with limited recent polling shifts or national developments capable of altering the district's trajectory before the November 3 general election, sustain the current implied probabilities while allowing modest scope for late-cycle changes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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