The D+3 partisan voting index and "Likely Democratic" ratings from major forecasters position the eventual Democratic nominee as the clear favorite to hold Minnesota's 2nd District in the open 2026 general election. Incumbent Angie Craig's decision to pursue a U.S. Senate bid created the vacancy, yet the district's consistent Democratic lean in recent cycles and the competitive primary field of state legislators and local officials have limited Republican upside. On the GOP side, state Senator Eric Pratt leads after primary rival Tyler Kistner withdrew, but faces an uphill path in a seat last won by Republicans before 2018. Both parties' August 11 primaries and the November 3 general remain key upcoming milestones that could influence final positioning.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMN-02 House Election Winner
Republican Party
23%
Democratic Party
62%
Republican Party
23%
Democratic Party
62%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The D+3 partisan voting index and "Likely Democratic" ratings from major forecasters position the eventual Democratic nominee as the clear favorite to hold Minnesota's 2nd District in the open 2026 general election. Incumbent Angie Craig's decision to pursue a U.S. Senate bid created the vacancy, yet the district's consistent Democratic lean in recent cycles and the competitive primary field of state legislators and local officials have limited Republican upside. On the GOP side, state Senator Eric Pratt leads after primary rival Tyler Kistner withdrew, but faces an uphill path in a seat last won by Republicans before 2018. Both parties' August 11 primaries and the November 3 general remain key upcoming milestones that could influence final positioning.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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