Matt Little secured the Democratic nomination in Minnesota’s 2nd Congressional District after winning the August 11 primary against two rivals in the open seat left by Rep. Angie Craig’s Senate bid. The southern Twin Cities suburbs have trended more Democratic in recent cycles, and forecasters rate the general election as Likely Democratic. Polling from June showed Little ahead of Republican state Sen. Eric Pratt by five points in a head-to-head matchup. Pratt’s campaign focuses on state-level concerns such as fraud in government programs and law enforcement support, yet the district’s shifting partisan lean and limited national Republican investment have left traders assigning Little a 93% implied probability of victory. A late scandal, sharp shift in turnout patterns, or unexpected national events before November 3 could still alter the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$38,451 Vol.
$38,451 Vol.
Nov 4, 2026
Matt Little (D)
93%
Eric Pratt (R)
7%
$38,451 Vol.
$38,451 Vol.
Nov 4, 2026
Matt Little (D)
$10,101 Vol.
93%
Eric Pratt (R)
$28,350 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Matt Little secured the Democratic nomination in Minnesota’s 2nd Congressional District after winning the August 11 primary against two rivals in the open seat left by Rep. Angie Craig’s Senate bid. The southern Twin Cities suburbs have trended more Democratic in recent cycles, and forecasters rate the general election as Likely Democratic. Polling from June showed Little ahead of Republican state Sen. Eric Pratt by five points in a head-to-head matchup. Pratt’s campaign focuses on state-level concerns such as fraud in government programs and law enforcement support, yet the district’s shifting partisan lean and limited national Republican investment have left traders assigning Little a 93% implied probability of victory. A late scandal, sharp shift in turnout patterns, or unexpected national events before November 3 could still alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
Volume
$38,451End Date
Nov 5, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2f5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Matt Little secured the Democratic nomination in Minnesota’s 2nd Congressional District after winning the August 11 primary against two rivals in the open seat left by Rep. Angie Craig’s Senate bid. The southern Twin Cities suburbs have trended more Democratic in recent cycles, and forecasters rate the general election as Likely Democratic. Polling from June showed Little ahead of Republican state Sen. Eric Pratt by five points in a head-to-head matchup. Pratt’s campaign focuses on state-level concerns such as fraud in government programs and law enforcement support, yet the district’s shifting partisan lean and limited national Republican investment have left traders assigning Little a 93% implied probability of victory. A late scandal, sharp shift in turnout patterns, or unexpected national events before November 3 could still alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$38,451End Date
Nov 5, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2f5e3684c...Matt Little secured the Democratic nomination in Minnesota’s 2nd Congressional District after winning the August 11 primary against two rivals in the open seat left by Rep. Angie Craig’s Senate bid. The southern Twin Cities suburbs have trended more Democratic in recent cycles, and forecasters rate the general election as Likely Democratic. Polling from June showed Little ahead of Republican state Sen. Eric Pratt by five points in a head-to-head matchup. Pratt’s campaign focuses on state-level concerns such as fraud in government programs and law enforcement support, yet the district’s shifting partisan lean and limited national Republican investment have left traders assigning Little a 93% implied probability of victory. A late scandal, sharp shift in turnout patterns, or unexpected national events before November 3 could still alter the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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