Matt Little secured the Democratic nomination for Minnesota’s open 2nd Congressional District seat after Angie Craig vacated it to pursue the U.S. Senate, defeating rivals in the August primary and consolidating party support in a suburban-rural district that has trended more Democratic in recent cycles. Independent ratings from Cook Political Report and others classify the race as Likely Democratic, reflecting polling margins favoring Little by roughly nine points and the district’s recent voting patterns. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Little aligns with these fundamentals and the absence of strong Republican momentum for Eric Pratt. Potential shifts could stem from late-campaign national economic or foreign policy developments, turnout surprises in swing precincts, or unforeseen candidate-specific events before November 3.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$38,058 Vol.
$38,058 Vol.
Nov 4, 2026
Matt Little (D)
94%
Eric Pratt (R)
7%
$38,058 Vol.
$38,058 Vol.
Nov 4, 2026
Matt Little (D)
$10,101 Vol.
94%
Eric Pratt (R)
$27,957 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Matt Little secured the Democratic nomination for Minnesota’s open 2nd Congressional District seat after Angie Craig vacated it to pursue the U.S. Senate, defeating rivals in the August primary and consolidating party support in a suburban-rural district that has trended more Democratic in recent cycles. Independent ratings from Cook Political Report and others classify the race as Likely Democratic, reflecting polling margins favoring Little by roughly nine points and the district’s recent voting patterns. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Little aligns with these fundamentals and the absence of strong Republican momentum for Eric Pratt. Potential shifts could stem from late-campaign national economic or foreign policy developments, turnout surprises in swing precincts, or unforeseen candidate-specific events before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
Volume
$38,058End Date
Nov 5, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Matt Little secured the Democratic nomination for Minnesota’s open 2nd Congressional District seat after Angie Craig vacated it to pursue the U.S. Senate, defeating rivals in the August primary and consolidating party support in a suburban-rural district that has trended more Democratic in recent cycles. Independent ratings from Cook Political Report and others classify the race as Likely Democratic, reflecting polling margins favoring Little by roughly nine points and the district’s recent voting patterns. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Little aligns with these fundamentals and the absence of strong Republican momentum for Eric Pratt. Potential shifts could stem from late-campaign national economic or foreign policy developments, turnout surprises in swing precincts, or unforeseen candidate-specific events before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$38,058End Date
Nov 5, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Matt Little secured the Democratic nomination for Minnesota’s open 2nd Congressional District seat after Angie Craig vacated it to pursue the U.S. Senate, defeating rivals in the August primary and consolidating party support in a suburban-rural district that has trended more Democratic in recent cycles. Independent ratings from Cook Political Report and others classify the race as Likely Democratic, reflecting polling margins favoring Little by roughly nine points and the district’s recent voting patterns. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Little aligns with these fundamentals and the absence of strong Republican momentum for Eric Pratt. Potential shifts could stem from late-campaign national economic or foreign policy developments, turnout surprises in swing precincts, or unforeseen candidate-specific events before November 3.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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