Incumbent Republican Brad Finstad holds a structural edge in Minnesota’s Republican-leaning First Congressional District, where the partisan voting index favors the GOP by roughly six points and he won reelection by 17 points in 2024. Recent polling shows Finstad ahead of Democratic challenger Jake Johnson by single digits, with one survey in March placing the Republican at 52 percent and another in February at 44 percent. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Republican, reflecting Finstad’s incumbency and the district’s history, while Democratic efforts including DCCC targeting have narrowed the gap without shifting the overall outlook. Primaries remain scheduled for August, leaving room for developments before the November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
61%
民主党
38%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
$3,041 交易量
61%
民主党
$4,495 交易量
38%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brad Finstad holds a structural edge in Minnesota’s Republican-leaning First Congressional District, where the partisan voting index favors the GOP by roughly six points and he won reelection by 17 points in 2024. Recent polling shows Finstad ahead of Democratic challenger Jake Johnson by single digits, with one survey in March placing the Republican at 52 percent and another in February at 44 percent. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Republican, reflecting Finstad’s incumbency and the district’s history, while Democratic efforts including DCCC targeting have narrowed the gap without shifting the overall outlook. Primaries remain scheduled for August, leaving room for developments before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$7,536结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brad Finstad holds a structural edge in Minnesota’s Republican-leaning First Congressional District, where the partisan voting index favors the GOP by roughly six points and he won reelection by 17 points in 2024. Recent polling shows Finstad ahead of Democratic challenger Jake Johnson by single digits, with one survey in March placing the Republican at 52 percent and another in February at 44 percent. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Republican, reflecting Finstad’s incumbency and the district’s history, while Democratic efforts including DCCC targeting have narrowed the gap without shifting the overall outlook. Primaries remain scheduled for August, leaving room for developments before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$7,536结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Brad Finstad holds a structural edge in Minnesota’s Republican-leaning First Congressional District, where the partisan voting index favors the GOP by roughly six points and he won reelection by 17 points in 2024. Recent polling shows Finstad ahead of Democratic challenger Jake Johnson by single digits, with one survey in March placing the Republican at 52 percent and another in February at 44 percent. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Republican, reflecting Finstad’s incumbency and the district’s history, while Democratic efforts including DCCC targeting have narrowed the gap without shifting the overall outlook. Primaries remain scheduled for August, leaving room for developments before the November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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