Incumbent Andy Harris maintains a commanding position in Maryland’s 1st Congressional District race due to the district’s consistent Republican lean, his long tenure since 2011, and substantial fundraising edge over Democratic nominee Dan Schwartz. Harris secured his party’s nomination with roughly 80 percent in the June primary, while Schwartz prevailed in a competitive Democratic contest. Independent race ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, consistent with Harris’s prior victories and a July poll showing him ahead. Trader consensus at 90.5 percent reflects this structural advantage and limited recent shifts. Late developments such as major scandals, candidate health events, or significant national political realignments could still influence the November outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMD-01 House Election Winner
MD-01 House Election Winner
$62,384 Vol.
$62,384 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Andy Harris (R)
91%
Dan Schwartz (D)
9%
$62,384 Vol.
$62,384 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Andy Harris (R)
$34,712 Vol.
91%
Dan Schwartz (D)
$27,673 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Andy Harris maintains a commanding position in Maryland’s 1st Congressional District race due to the district’s consistent Republican lean, his long tenure since 2011, and substantial fundraising edge over Democratic nominee Dan Schwartz. Harris secured his party’s nomination with roughly 80 percent in the June primary, while Schwartz prevailed in a competitive Democratic contest. Independent race ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, consistent with Harris’s prior victories and a July poll showing him ahead. Trader consensus at 90.5 percent reflects this structural advantage and limited recent shifts. Late developments such as major scandals, candidate health events, or significant national political realignments could still influence the November outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$62,384End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Andy Harris maintains a commanding position in Maryland’s 1st Congressional District race due to the district’s consistent Republican lean, his long tenure since 2011, and substantial fundraising edge over Democratic nominee Dan Schwartz. Harris secured his party’s nomination with roughly 80 percent in the June primary, while Schwartz prevailed in a competitive Democratic contest. Independent race ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, consistent with Harris’s prior victories and a July poll showing him ahead. Trader consensus at 90.5 percent reflects this structural advantage and limited recent shifts. Late developments such as major scandals, candidate health events, or significant national political realignments could still influence the November outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$62,384End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Andy Harris maintains a commanding position in Maryland’s 1st Congressional District race due to the district’s consistent Republican lean, his long tenure since 2011, and substantial fundraising edge over Democratic nominee Dan Schwartz. Harris secured his party’s nomination with roughly 80 percent in the June primary, while Schwartz prevailed in a competitive Democratic contest. Independent race ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, consistent with Harris’s prior victories and a July poll showing him ahead. Trader consensus at 90.5 percent reflects this structural advantage and limited recent shifts. Late developments such as major scandals, candidate health events, or significant national political realignments could still influence the November outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions