Missouri’s 3rd congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the 2026 general election, with the incumbent Bob Onder facing a Democratic primary field that includes Tommy Holstein, Bethany Mann, and others but no widely recognized frontrunner. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican, reflecting the district’s consistent partisan lean, voter registration patterns, and historical results that have favored GOP candidates by double-digit margins in recent cycles. The August 4 primaries and November 3 general election timeline further anchor current positioning, as no major scandals, candidate withdrawals, or redistricting developments have emerged to alter the balance. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district’s structural advantages for Republicans while leaving room for late shifts from unexpected national headwinds or primary surprises.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoMO-03 House Election Winner
MO-03 House Election Winner
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
91%
Democratic Party
8%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$67 Wol.
91%
Democratic Party
$0 Wol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri’s 3rd congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the 2026 general election, with the incumbent Bob Onder facing a Democratic primary field that includes Tommy Holstein, Bethany Mann, and others but no widely recognized frontrunner. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican, reflecting the district’s consistent partisan lean, voter registration patterns, and historical results that have favored GOP candidates by double-digit margins in recent cycles. The August 4 primaries and November 3 general election timeline further anchor current positioning, as no major scandals, candidate withdrawals, or redistricting developments have emerged to alter the balance. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district’s structural advantages for Republicans while leaving room for late shifts from unexpected national headwinds or primary surprises.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Wolumen
$67Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri’s 3rd congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the 2026 general election, with the incumbent Bob Onder facing a Democratic primary field that includes Tommy Holstein, Bethany Mann, and others but no widely recognized frontrunner. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican, reflecting the district’s consistent partisan lean, voter registration patterns, and historical results that have favored GOP candidates by double-digit margins in recent cycles. The August 4 primaries and November 3 general election timeline further anchor current positioning, as no major scandals, candidate withdrawals, or redistricting developments have emerged to alter the balance. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district’s structural advantages for Republicans while leaving room for late shifts from unexpected national headwinds or primary surprises.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$67Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Missouri’s 3rd congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the 2026 general election, with the incumbent Bob Onder facing a Democratic primary field that includes Tommy Holstein, Bethany Mann, and others but no widely recognized frontrunner. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican, reflecting the district’s consistent partisan lean, voter registration patterns, and historical results that have favored GOP candidates by double-digit margins in recent cycles. The August 4 primaries and November 3 general election timeline further anchor current positioning, as no major scandals, candidate withdrawals, or redistricting developments have emerged to alter the balance. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district’s structural advantages for Republicans while leaving room for late shifts from unexpected national headwinds or primary surprises.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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