Chris Stigall secured the Republican nomination in Missouri’s 6th Congressional District on August 4 after winning a crowded primary with 44 percent of the vote, backed by endorsements from retiring incumbent Sam Graves and Senator Eric Schmitt. The open seat sits in a district that delivered over 70 percent for Republicans in the prior cycle and carries solid Republican ratings from major forecasters. These factors, combined with the district’s rural and agricultural base, underpin trader consensus around Stigall’s strong general-election position against Democrat Josh Smead, who won his primary with 48 percent. Late developments such as a major scandal, unusually high Democratic turnout, or shifts in national conditions could narrow the margin, though the underlying partisan composition makes such outcomes less probable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMO-06 House Election Winner
MO-06 House Election Winner
$49,395 Vol.
$49,395 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Chris Stigall (R)
95%
Josh Smead (D)
6%
$49,395 Vol.
$49,395 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Chris Stigall (R)
$27,480 Vol.
95%
Josh Smead (D)
$21,915 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Chris Stigall secured the Republican nomination in Missouri’s 6th Congressional District on August 4 after winning a crowded primary with 44 percent of the vote, backed by endorsements from retiring incumbent Sam Graves and Senator Eric Schmitt. The open seat sits in a district that delivered over 70 percent for Republicans in the prior cycle and carries solid Republican ratings from major forecasters. These factors, combined with the district’s rural and agricultural base, underpin trader consensus around Stigall’s strong general-election position against Democrat Josh Smead, who won his primary with 48 percent. Late developments such as a major scandal, unusually high Democratic turnout, or shifts in national conditions could narrow the margin, though the underlying partisan composition makes such outcomes less probable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$49,395End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Chris Stigall secured the Republican nomination in Missouri’s 6th Congressional District on August 4 after winning a crowded primary with 44 percent of the vote, backed by endorsements from retiring incumbent Sam Graves and Senator Eric Schmitt. The open seat sits in a district that delivered over 70 percent for Republicans in the prior cycle and carries solid Republican ratings from major forecasters. These factors, combined with the district’s rural and agricultural base, underpin trader consensus around Stigall’s strong general-election position against Democrat Josh Smead, who won his primary with 48 percent. Late developments such as a major scandal, unusually high Democratic turnout, or shifts in national conditions could narrow the margin, though the underlying partisan composition makes such outcomes less probable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$49,395End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Chris Stigall secured the Republican nomination in Missouri’s 6th Congressional District on August 4 after winning a crowded primary with 44 percent of the vote, backed by endorsements from retiring incumbent Sam Graves and Senator Eric Schmitt. The open seat sits in a district that delivered over 70 percent for Republicans in the prior cycle and carries solid Republican ratings from major forecasters. These factors, combined with the district’s rural and agricultural base, underpin trader consensus around Stigall’s strong general-election position against Democrat Josh Smead, who won his primary with 48 percent. Late developments such as a major scandal, unusually high Democratic turnout, or shifts in national conditions could narrow the margin, though the underlying partisan composition makes such outcomes less probable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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