Missouri’s 6th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat following the retirement of longtime incumbent Sam Graves, with nonpartisan race ratings classifying it as Safe or Solid Republican. Multiple Republican candidates have filed for the August 4 primary, including figures backed by party establishment support, while the Democratic primary features a limited field with lower visibility and fundraising. The district’s partisan voting index and historical results reflect a consistent Republican advantage exceeding 10 points, limiting Democratic prospects in the November general election. Trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee could shift only in the event of an unusually divisive primary outcome, a significant national political realignment before November, or unexpected candidate withdrawals that alter the general-election matchup.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMO-06 House Election Winner
MO-06 House Election Winner
$30,901 Vol.
$30,901 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
7%
$30,901 Vol.
$30,901 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$24,662 Vol.
94%
Democratic Party
$6,239 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri’s 6th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat following the retirement of longtime incumbent Sam Graves, with nonpartisan race ratings classifying it as Safe or Solid Republican. Multiple Republican candidates have filed for the August 4 primary, including figures backed by party establishment support, while the Democratic primary features a limited field with lower visibility and fundraising. The district’s partisan voting index and historical results reflect a consistent Republican advantage exceeding 10 points, limiting Democratic prospects in the November general election. Trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee could shift only in the event of an unusually divisive primary outcome, a significant national political realignment before November, or unexpected candidate withdrawals that alter the general-election matchup.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$30,901End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri’s 6th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat following the retirement of longtime incumbent Sam Graves, with nonpartisan race ratings classifying it as Safe or Solid Republican. Multiple Republican candidates have filed for the August 4 primary, including figures backed by party establishment support, while the Democratic primary features a limited field with lower visibility and fundraising. The district’s partisan voting index and historical results reflect a consistent Republican advantage exceeding 10 points, limiting Democratic prospects in the November general election. Trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee could shift only in the event of an unusually divisive primary outcome, a significant national political realignment before November, or unexpected candidate withdrawals that alter the general-election matchup.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$30,901End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Missouri’s 6th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat following the retirement of longtime incumbent Sam Graves, with nonpartisan race ratings classifying it as Safe or Solid Republican. Multiple Republican candidates have filed for the August 4 primary, including figures backed by party establishment support, while the Democratic primary features a limited field with lower visibility and fundraising. The district’s partisan voting index and historical results reflect a consistent Republican advantage exceeding 10 points, limiting Democratic prospects in the November general election. Trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee could shift only in the event of an unusually divisive primary outcome, a significant national political realignment before November, or unexpected candidate withdrawals that alter the general-election matchup.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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