California's 34th congressional district, centered in Los Angeles, maintains a strongly Democratic partisan lean reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent ratings as Solid or Safe Democratic by forecasters. The June 2, 2026, top-two primary advanced incumbent Jimmy Gomez and Angela Gonzales-Torres, both Democrats, over the leading Republican, Calvin Lee, setting up a November general election between two candidates of the same party. This structure, combined with the district's voter registration and historical turnout patterns favoring Democrats, drives trader consensus toward a Democratic outcome. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented shift, such as a major unforeseen scandal or eligibility issue affecting both Democratic candidates.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$27,903 交易量
$27,903 交易量
2026-11-03
共和黨
4%
民主黨
63%
$27,903 交易量
$27,903 交易量
2026-11-03
共和黨
$20,719 交易量
4%
民主黨
$7,184 交易量
63%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 34th congressional district, centered in Los Angeles, maintains a strongly Democratic partisan lean reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent ratings as Solid or Safe Democratic by forecasters. The June 2, 2026, top-two primary advanced incumbent Jimmy Gomez and Angela Gonzales-Torres, both Democrats, over the leading Republican, Calvin Lee, setting up a November general election between two candidates of the same party. This structure, combined with the district's voter registration and historical turnout patterns favoring Democrats, drives trader consensus toward a Democratic outcome. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented shift, such as a major unforeseen scandal or eligibility issue affecting both Democratic candidates.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
交易量
$27,903結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 34th congressional district, centered in Los Angeles, maintains a strongly Democratic partisan lean reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent ratings as Solid or Safe Democratic by forecasters. The June 2, 2026, top-two primary advanced incumbent Jimmy Gomez and Angela Gonzales-Torres, both Democrats, over the leading Republican, Calvin Lee, setting up a November general election between two candidates of the same party. This structure, combined with the district's voter registration and historical turnout patterns favoring Democrats, drives trader consensus toward a Democratic outcome. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented shift, such as a major unforeseen scandal or eligibility issue affecting both Democratic candidates.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$27,903結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 34th congressional district, centered in Los Angeles, maintains a strongly Democratic partisan lean reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent ratings as Solid or Safe Democratic by forecasters. The June 2, 2026, top-two primary advanced incumbent Jimmy Gomez and Angela Gonzales-Torres, both Democrats, over the leading Republican, Calvin Lee, setting up a November general election between two candidates of the same party. This structure, combined with the district's voter registration and historical turnout patterns favoring Democrats, drives trader consensus toward a Democratic outcome. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented shift, such as a major unforeseen scandal or eligibility issue affecting both Democratic candidates.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions