California’s 32nd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+17 and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Longtime incumbent Brad Sherman, first elected in 1996, has repeatedly secured comfortable victories in both primaries and generals, including a 66 percent share in 2024. Multiple Democratic challengers in the June 2 top-two primary further fragment opposition within the party while the Republican field remains limited, making a partisan flip structurally difficult. A Democratic nominee is therefore expected to advance to the November 3 general and prevail, though an unforeseen scandal, health development, or national political shift could theoretically alter the trajectory in the closing months.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाCA-32 House Election Winner
CA-32 House Election Winner
$14,412 वॉल्यूम
$14,412 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
7%
$14,412 वॉल्यूम
$14,412 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
$5,871 वॉल्यूम
93%
Republican Party
$8,541 वॉल्यूम
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 32nd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+17 and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Longtime incumbent Brad Sherman, first elected in 1996, has repeatedly secured comfortable victories in both primaries and generals, including a 66 percent share in 2024. Multiple Democratic challengers in the June 2 top-two primary further fragment opposition within the party while the Republican field remains limited, making a partisan flip structurally difficult. A Democratic nominee is therefore expected to advance to the November 3 general and prevail, though an unforeseen scandal, health development, or national political shift could theoretically alter the trajectory in the closing months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$14,412समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 32nd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+17 and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Longtime incumbent Brad Sherman, first elected in 1996, has repeatedly secured comfortable victories in both primaries and generals, including a 66 percent share in 2024. Multiple Democratic challengers in the June 2 top-two primary further fragment opposition within the party while the Republican field remains limited, making a partisan flip structurally difficult. A Democratic nominee is therefore expected to advance to the November 3 general and prevail, though an unforeseen scandal, health development, or national political shift could theoretically alter the trajectory in the closing months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$14,412समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California’s 32nd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+17 and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Longtime incumbent Brad Sherman, first elected in 1996, has repeatedly secured comfortable victories in both primaries and generals, including a 66 percent share in 2024. Multiple Democratic challengers in the June 2 top-two primary further fragment opposition within the party while the Republican field remains limited, making a partisan flip structurally difficult. A Democratic nominee is therefore expected to advance to the November 3 general and prevail, though an unforeseen scandal, health development, or national political shift could theoretically alter the trajectory in the closing months.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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