Democratic incumbent Maggie Goodlander holds a commanding position in New Hampshire’s 2nd congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. The district’s modest Democratic lean, reflected in its D+2 Partisan Voter Index, combines with Goodlander’s 2024 victory margin and early polling leads over likely Republican challenger Lily Tang Williams to underpin trader consensus. Recent surveys show her ahead by double digits in head-to-head matchups, consistent with nonpartisan race ratings classifying the seat as Likely Democratic. The Democratic primary, set for September 8, features several challengers but has not altered expectations of an incumbent nomination. A national Republican surge, shifts in voter turnout among key blocs, or unexpected primary volatility remain the primary factors that could narrow the gap before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
93%
共和党
34%
新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
$545 Vol.
93%
共和党
$3,967 Vol.
34%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Maggie Goodlander holds a commanding position in New Hampshire’s 2nd congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. The district’s modest Democratic lean, reflected in its D+2 Partisan Voter Index, combines with Goodlander’s 2024 victory margin and early polling leads over likely Republican challenger Lily Tang Williams to underpin trader consensus. Recent surveys show her ahead by double digits in head-to-head matchups, consistent with nonpartisan race ratings classifying the seat as Likely Democratic. The Democratic primary, set for September 8, features several challengers but has not altered expectations of an incumbent nomination. A national Republican surge, shifts in voter turnout among key blocs, or unexpected primary volatility remain the primary factors that could narrow the gap before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
音量
$4,512終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Maggie Goodlander holds a commanding position in New Hampshire’s 2nd congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. The district’s modest Democratic lean, reflected in its D+2 Partisan Voter Index, combines with Goodlander’s 2024 victory margin and early polling leads over likely Republican challenger Lily Tang Williams to underpin trader consensus. Recent surveys show her ahead by double digits in head-to-head matchups, consistent with nonpartisan race ratings classifying the seat as Likely Democratic. The Democratic primary, set for September 8, features several challengers but has not altered expectations of an incumbent nomination. A national Republican surge, shifts in voter turnout among key blocs, or unexpected primary volatility remain the primary factors that could narrow the gap before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$4,512終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Maggie Goodlander holds a commanding position in New Hampshire’s 2nd congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. The district’s modest Democratic lean, reflected in its D+2 Partisan Voter Index, combines with Goodlander’s 2024 victory margin and early polling leads over likely Republican challenger Lily Tang Williams to underpin trader consensus. Recent surveys show her ahead by double digits in head-to-head matchups, consistent with nonpartisan race ratings classifying the seat as Likely Democratic. The Democratic primary, set for September 8, features several challengers but has not altered expectations of an incumbent nomination. A national Republican surge, shifts in voter turnout among key blocs, or unexpected primary volatility remain the primary factors that could narrow the gap before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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