Incumbent Republican David Kustoff anchors the race in Tennessee’s 8th congressional district, where the partisan voting index stands at roughly R+21 following recent mid-decade redistricting. Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball all rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with Kustoff’s 72 percent margin in 2024 and the absence of any well-funded Democratic challenger. Four candidates are competing in the August 6 Democratic primary, yet analysts view the contest as largely symbolic given the district’s rural West Tennessee base and suburban Memphis pockets that consistently favor Republicans. No late-breaking polling or events have altered this positioning, leaving trader consensus centered on structural incumbency and electoral math rather than any immediate shift in voter sentiment ahead of the November general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedTN-08 House Election Winner
TN-08 House Election Winner
$14,352 Vol.
$14,352 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
85%
Democratic Party
16%
$14,352 Vol.
$14,352 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$9,508 Vol.
85%
Democratic Party
$4,844 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican David Kustoff anchors the race in Tennessee’s 8th congressional district, where the partisan voting index stands at roughly R+21 following recent mid-decade redistricting. Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball all rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with Kustoff’s 72 percent margin in 2024 and the absence of any well-funded Democratic challenger. Four candidates are competing in the August 6 Democratic primary, yet analysts view the contest as largely symbolic given the district’s rural West Tennessee base and suburban Memphis pockets that consistently favor Republicans. No late-breaking polling or events have altered this positioning, leaving trader consensus centered on structural incumbency and electoral math rather than any immediate shift in voter sentiment ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$14,352End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican David Kustoff anchors the race in Tennessee’s 8th congressional district, where the partisan voting index stands at roughly R+21 following recent mid-decade redistricting. Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball all rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with Kustoff’s 72 percent margin in 2024 and the absence of any well-funded Democratic challenger. Four candidates are competing in the August 6 Democratic primary, yet analysts view the contest as largely symbolic given the district’s rural West Tennessee base and suburban Memphis pockets that consistently favor Republicans. No late-breaking polling or events have altered this positioning, leaving trader consensus centered on structural incumbency and electoral math rather than any immediate shift in voter sentiment ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$14,352End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican David Kustoff anchors the race in Tennessee’s 8th congressional district, where the partisan voting index stands at roughly R+21 following recent mid-decade redistricting. Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball all rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with Kustoff’s 72 percent margin in 2024 and the absence of any well-funded Democratic challenger. Four candidates are competing in the August 6 Democratic primary, yet analysts view the contest as largely symbolic given the district’s rural West Tennessee base and suburban Memphis pockets that consistently favor Republicans. No late-breaking polling or events have altered this positioning, leaving trader consensus centered on structural incumbency and electoral math rather than any immediate shift in voter sentiment ahead of the November general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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