Incumbent Republican David Kustoff holds a commanding lead in the TN-08 House race, reflecting the district’s consistent R+10 partisan lean, his unopposed primary win, and repeated strong general-election margins in prior cycles. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Safe or Solid Republican ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Democrat Heidi Kuhn, who defeated several primary opponents in August, faces structural headwinds in a district that has delivered 68–70% support for Republican presidential candidates in recent elections. Multiple independent candidates also appear on the ballot but are not expected to alter the outcome. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unforeseen national political shift could theoretically narrow the gap, though current conditions show no such catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedTN-08 House Election Winner
TN-08 House Election Winner
$43,050 Vol.
$43,050 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
David Kustoff (R)
95%
Heidi Kuhn (D)
2%
$43,050 Vol.
$43,050 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
David Kustoff (R)
$22,917 Vol.
95%
Heidi Kuhn (D)
$20,133 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican David Kustoff holds a commanding lead in the TN-08 House race, reflecting the district’s consistent R+10 partisan lean, his unopposed primary win, and repeated strong general-election margins in prior cycles. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Safe or Solid Republican ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Democrat Heidi Kuhn, who defeated several primary opponents in August, faces structural headwinds in a district that has delivered 68–70% support for Republican presidential candidates in recent elections. Multiple independent candidates also appear on the ballot but are not expected to alter the outcome. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unforeseen national political shift could theoretically narrow the gap, though current conditions show no such catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$43,050End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican David Kustoff holds a commanding lead in the TN-08 House race, reflecting the district’s consistent R+10 partisan lean, his unopposed primary win, and repeated strong general-election margins in prior cycles. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Safe or Solid Republican ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Democrat Heidi Kuhn, who defeated several primary opponents in August, faces structural headwinds in a district that has delivered 68–70% support for Republican presidential candidates in recent elections. Multiple independent candidates also appear on the ballot but are not expected to alter the outcome. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unforeseen national political shift could theoretically narrow the gap, though current conditions show no such catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$43,050End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican David Kustoff holds a commanding lead in the TN-08 House race, reflecting the district’s consistent R+10 partisan lean, his unopposed primary win, and repeated strong general-election margins in prior cycles. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Safe or Solid Republican ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Democrat Heidi Kuhn, who defeated several primary opponents in August, faces structural headwinds in a district that has delivered 68–70% support for Republican presidential candidates in recent elections. Multiple independent candidates also appear on the ballot but are not expected to alter the outcome. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unforeseen national political shift could theoretically narrow the gap, though current conditions show no such catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions