Incumbent Republican David Kustoff holds a commanding lead in the TN-08 House race due to the district's consistent Republican advantage in recent presidential and congressional voting, combined with his unopposed primary victory and established record on the House Ways and Means Committee. Heidi Kuhn secured the Democratic nomination in the August 6 primary but confronts structural headwinds in a district rated solid or safe Republican by multiple forecasters. Multiple independent candidates appear on the November 3, 2026 ballot yet have shown limited fundraising or organizational strength. Trader consensus reflects these baseline partisan realities, though late developments such as major scandals, health events, or unusually high Democratic turnout could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedTN-08 House Election Winner
TN-08 House Election Winner
$43,050 Vol.
$43,050 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
David Kustoff (R)
96%
Heidi Kuhn (D)
2%
$43,050 Vol.
$43,050 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
David Kustoff (R)
$22,917 Vol.
96%
Heidi Kuhn (D)
$20,133 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican David Kustoff holds a commanding lead in the TN-08 House race due to the district's consistent Republican advantage in recent presidential and congressional voting, combined with his unopposed primary victory and established record on the House Ways and Means Committee. Heidi Kuhn secured the Democratic nomination in the August 6 primary but confronts structural headwinds in a district rated solid or safe Republican by multiple forecasters. Multiple independent candidates appear on the November 3, 2026 ballot yet have shown limited fundraising or organizational strength. Trader consensus reflects these baseline partisan realities, though late developments such as major scandals, health events, or unusually high Democratic turnout could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$43,050End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican David Kustoff holds a commanding lead in the TN-08 House race due to the district's consistent Republican advantage in recent presidential and congressional voting, combined with his unopposed primary victory and established record on the House Ways and Means Committee. Heidi Kuhn secured the Democratic nomination in the August 6 primary but confronts structural headwinds in a district rated solid or safe Republican by multiple forecasters. Multiple independent candidates appear on the November 3, 2026 ballot yet have shown limited fundraising or organizational strength. Trader consensus reflects these baseline partisan realities, though late developments such as major scandals, health events, or unusually high Democratic turnout could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$43,050End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican David Kustoff holds a commanding lead in the TN-08 House race due to the district's consistent Republican advantage in recent presidential and congressional voting, combined with his unopposed primary victory and established record on the House Ways and Means Committee. Heidi Kuhn secured the Democratic nomination in the August 6 primary but confronts structural headwinds in a district rated solid or safe Republican by multiple forecasters. Multiple independent candidates appear on the November 3, 2026 ballot yet have shown limited fundraising or organizational strength. Trader consensus reflects these baseline partisan realities, though late developments such as major scandals, health events, or unusually high Democratic turnout could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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