Tennessee Republicans enacted a new congressional map in early May 2026 that substantially altered the 9th District by incorporating additional Republican-leaning areas outside Memphis and diluting its prior Democratic tilt. Longtime incumbent Steve Cohen withdrew his candidacy in response, converting the race into an open seat with primaries scheduled for August 6. Multiple Republican candidates, including state Sen. Brent Taylor, quickly entered the contest, while Democratic contenders face a narrower path under the revised boundaries. These structural changes underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee in November, reflecting the district's updated partisan composition and the absence of an entrenched incumbent advantage.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoTN-09 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
TN-09 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$25,216 Vol.
$25,216 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
82%
Partido Demócrata
15%
$25,216 Vol.
$25,216 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$13,049 Vol.
82%
Partido Demócrata
$12,167 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee Republicans enacted a new congressional map in early May 2026 that substantially altered the 9th District by incorporating additional Republican-leaning areas outside Memphis and diluting its prior Democratic tilt. Longtime incumbent Steve Cohen withdrew his candidacy in response, converting the race into an open seat with primaries scheduled for August 6. Multiple Republican candidates, including state Sen. Brent Taylor, quickly entered the contest, while Democratic contenders face a narrower path under the revised boundaries. These structural changes underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee in November, reflecting the district's updated partisan composition and the absence of an entrenched incumbent advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$25,216Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee Republicans enacted a new congressional map in early May 2026 that substantially altered the 9th District by incorporating additional Republican-leaning areas outside Memphis and diluting its prior Democratic tilt. Longtime incumbent Steve Cohen withdrew his candidacy in response, converting the race into an open seat with primaries scheduled for August 6. Multiple Republican candidates, including state Sen. Brent Taylor, quickly entered the contest, while Democratic contenders face a narrower path under the revised boundaries. These structural changes underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee in November, reflecting the district's updated partisan composition and the absence of an entrenched incumbent advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$25,216Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee Republicans enacted a new congressional map in early May 2026 that substantially altered the 9th District by incorporating additional Republican-leaning areas outside Memphis and diluting its prior Democratic tilt. Longtime incumbent Steve Cohen withdrew his candidacy in response, converting the race into an open seat with primaries scheduled for August 6. Multiple Republican candidates, including state Sen. Brent Taylor, quickly entered the contest, while Democratic contenders face a narrower path under the revised boundaries. These structural changes underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee in November, reflecting the district's updated partisan composition and the absence of an entrenched incumbent advantage.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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