Tennessee's newly redrawn 9th congressional district, altered through Republican-led redistricting legislation passed and signed in early May 2026, has shifted the Memphis-based seat from a long-standing Democratic stronghold to a Republican-leaning open district rated solid R by forecasters. Incumbent Representative Steve Cohen withdrew his candidacy following the map changes, which split traditional Democratic areas and incorporated more Republican-leaning territory. This has prompted a crowded Republican primary featuring candidates such as state Senator Brent Taylor, while Democratic contenders including state Senator London Lamar and state Representative Justin Pearson compete in their August primary ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages for Republicans, with limited recent polling or endorsements altering the outlook in the weeks since the map's enactment.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição da casa TN-09
Vencedor da eleição da casa TN-09
$25,216 Vol.
$25,216 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
82%
Partido Democrata
15%
$25,216 Vol.
$25,216 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$13,049 Vol.
82%
Partido Democrata
$12,167 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's newly redrawn 9th congressional district, altered through Republican-led redistricting legislation passed and signed in early May 2026, has shifted the Memphis-based seat from a long-standing Democratic stronghold to a Republican-leaning open district rated solid R by forecasters. Incumbent Representative Steve Cohen withdrew his candidacy following the map changes, which split traditional Democratic areas and incorporated more Republican-leaning territory. This has prompted a crowded Republican primary featuring candidates such as state Senator Brent Taylor, while Democratic contenders including state Senator London Lamar and state Representative Justin Pearson compete in their August primary ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages for Republicans, with limited recent polling or endorsements altering the outlook in the weeks since the map's enactment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$25,216Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's newly redrawn 9th congressional district, altered through Republican-led redistricting legislation passed and signed in early May 2026, has shifted the Memphis-based seat from a long-standing Democratic stronghold to a Republican-leaning open district rated solid R by forecasters. Incumbent Representative Steve Cohen withdrew his candidacy following the map changes, which split traditional Democratic areas and incorporated more Republican-leaning territory. This has prompted a crowded Republican primary featuring candidates such as state Senator Brent Taylor, while Democratic contenders including state Senator London Lamar and state Representative Justin Pearson compete in their August primary ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages for Republicans, with limited recent polling or endorsements altering the outlook in the weeks since the map's enactment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$25,216Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's newly redrawn 9th congressional district, altered through Republican-led redistricting legislation passed and signed in early May 2026, has shifted the Memphis-based seat from a long-standing Democratic stronghold to a Republican-leaning open district rated solid R by forecasters. Incumbent Representative Steve Cohen withdrew his candidacy following the map changes, which split traditional Democratic areas and incorporated more Republican-leaning territory. This has prompted a crowded Republican primary featuring candidates such as state Senator Brent Taylor, while Democratic contenders including state Senator London Lamar and state Representative Justin Pearson compete in their August primary ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages for Republicans, with limited recent polling or endorsements altering the outlook in the weeks since the map's enactment.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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