Trader consensus favors the Democratic Party at 65.5% to reclaim Colorado's 8th Congressional District in the November 2026 general election, reflecting the narrow 2024 GOP hold by freshman Rep. Gabe Evans and strong positioning by state Rep. Manny Rutinel as the likely Democratic nominee. Rutinel's dominant performance—83% in the March 7 Larimer County assembly straw poll, $2.5 million raised, and enthusiasm among Latino voters, a pivotal bloc—has solidified his primary lead ahead of the June 30 contest against challengers like former Rep. Shannon Bird and Evan Munsing. Evans, despite $3 million in fundraising, faces vulnerability in this battleground with Democratic-leaning math, as Cook rates it a Toss Up but traders price in a midterm flip opportunity.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedCO-08 House Election Winner
CO-08 House Election Winner
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
68%
Republican Party
31%
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$319 Vol.
68%
Republican Party
$0 Vol.
31%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Democratic Party at 65.5% to reclaim Colorado's 8th Congressional District in the November 2026 general election, reflecting the narrow 2024 GOP hold by freshman Rep. Gabe Evans and strong positioning by state Rep. Manny Rutinel as the likely Democratic nominee. Rutinel's dominant performance—83% in the March 7 Larimer County assembly straw poll, $2.5 million raised, and enthusiasm among Latino voters, a pivotal bloc—has solidified his primary lead ahead of the June 30 contest against challengers like former Rep. Shannon Bird and Evan Munsing. Evans, despite $3 million in fundraising, faces vulnerability in this battleground with Democratic-leaning math, as Cook rates it a Toss Up but traders price in a midterm flip opportunity.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Dec 16, 2025, 11:47 AM ET
Volume
$319End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 11:47 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Democratic Party at 65.5% to reclaim Colorado's 8th Congressional District in the November 2026 general election, reflecting the narrow 2024 GOP hold by freshman Rep. Gabe Evans and strong positioning by state Rep. Manny Rutinel as the likely Democratic nominee. Rutinel's dominant performance—83% in the March 7 Larimer County assembly straw poll, $2.5 million raised, and enthusiasm among Latino voters, a pivotal bloc—has solidified his primary lead ahead of the June 30 contest against challengers like former Rep. Shannon Bird and Evan Munsing. Evans, despite $3 million in fundraising, faces vulnerability in this battleground with Democratic-leaning math, as Cook rates it a Toss Up but traders price in a midterm flip opportunity.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$319End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 11:47 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors the Democratic Party at 65.5% to reclaim Colorado's 8th Congressional District in the November 2026 general election, reflecting the narrow 2024 GOP hold by freshman Rep. Gabe Evans and strong positioning by state Rep. Manny Rutinel as the likely Democratic nominee. Rutinel's dominant performance—83% in the March 7 Larimer County assembly straw poll, $2.5 million raised, and enthusiasm among Latino voters, a pivotal bloc—has solidified his primary lead ahead of the June 30 contest against challengers like former Rep. Shannon Bird and Evan Munsing. Evans, despite $3 million in fundraising, faces vulnerability in this battleground with Democratic-leaning math, as Cook rates it a Toss Up but traders price in a midterm flip opportunity.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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