Manny Rutinel secured the Democratic nomination for Colorado’s 8th Congressional District in the June 30 primary, defeating former state Rep. Shannon Bird by a wide margin and advancing to face incumbent Republican Gabe Evans in the November 3 general election. The district has functioned as a true swing seat, with Democrats holding it by under 1,600 votes in 2022 before Evans flipped it by roughly 2,500 votes in 2024. Both candidates have raised millions, with outside groups from both parties reserving substantial ad spending. The seat’s roughly 40 percent Latino population and status as a top target for House control have driven heavy national attention, shaping trader views on the matchup.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$18,182 Vol.
$18,182 Vol.
Nov 4, 2026
Manny Rutinel (D)
82%
Gabe Evans (R)
17%
$18,182 Vol.
$18,182 Vol.
Nov 4, 2026
Manny Rutinel (D)
$9,710 Vol.
82%
Gabe Evans (R)
$8,472 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Manny Rutinel secured the Democratic nomination for Colorado’s 8th Congressional District in the June 30 primary, defeating former state Rep. Shannon Bird by a wide margin and advancing to face incumbent Republican Gabe Evans in the November 3 general election. The district has functioned as a true swing seat, with Democrats holding it by under 1,600 votes in 2022 before Evans flipped it by roughly 2,500 votes in 2024. Both candidates have raised millions, with outside groups from both parties reserving substantial ad spending. The seat’s roughly 40 percent Latino population and status as a top target for House control have driven heavy national attention, shaping trader views on the matchup.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Dec 16, 2025, 11:47 AM ET
Volume
$18,182End Date
Nov 5, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 11:47 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Manny Rutinel secured the Democratic nomination for Colorado’s 8th Congressional District in the June 30 primary, defeating former state Rep. Shannon Bird by a wide margin and advancing to face incumbent Republican Gabe Evans in the November 3 general election. The district has functioned as a true swing seat, with Democrats holding it by under 1,600 votes in 2022 before Evans flipped it by roughly 2,500 votes in 2024. Both candidates have raised millions, with outside groups from both parties reserving substantial ad spending. The seat’s roughly 40 percent Latino population and status as a top target for House control have driven heavy national attention, shaping trader views on the matchup.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$18,182End Date
Nov 5, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 11:47 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Manny Rutinel secured the Democratic nomination for Colorado’s 8th Congressional District in the June 30 primary, defeating former state Rep. Shannon Bird by a wide margin and advancing to face incumbent Republican Gabe Evans in the November 3 general election. The district has functioned as a true swing seat, with Democrats holding it by under 1,600 votes in 2022 before Evans flipped it by roughly 2,500 votes in 2024. Both candidates have raised millions, with outside groups from both parties reserving substantial ad spending. The seat’s roughly 40 percent Latino population and status as a top target for House control have driven heavy national attention, shaping trader views on the matchup.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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