**Darializa Avila Chevalier holds a narrow lead in the NY-13 Democratic primary market at 56.5%, just ahead of five-term incumbent Adriano Espaillat at 44.5%, with all other candidates at 0.1%.** The June 23 primary features a competitive contest driven by Chevalier's late-May endorsement from Mayor Zohran Mamdani and backing from NYC DSA and Justice Democrats, which have boosted her profile as a pro-Palestinian activist and community organizer. Recent events include a June 16 NY1 debate and earlier forums marked by sharp exchanges on immigration policy, ICE, and campaign funding, alongside Espaillat's negative ads highlighting Chevalier's past social media posts. Super PAC spending has surged on both sides, and a recent poll showed the race essentially tied or with Chevalier narrowly ahead. These developments have narrowed what was once seen as a strong incumbent advantage, producing the current tight trader consensus in the final days before voting.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedView resolved

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