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Політика·Первинні

NY-13 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for NY-13 Democratic Primary Winner
Політика·Первинні

NY-13 Democratic Primary Winner

Adriano Espaillat 63%

Darializa Avila Chevalier 39%

Jaleel Amador <1%

Theo Chino-Tavarez <1%

Polymarket

$288,451 Обс.

Adriano Espaillat 63%

Darializa Avila Chevalier 39%

Jaleel Amador <1%

Theo Chino-Tavarez <1%

Polymarket

$288,451 Обс.

Adriano Espaillat

$166,990 Обс.

63%

Darializa Avila Chevalier

$101,318 Обс.

39%

Jaleel Amador

$1,126 Обс.

<1%

Theo Chino-Tavarez

$1,960 Обс.

<1%

James Felton Keith

$1,968 Обс.

<1%

Matt Miller

$6,056 Обс.

<1%

Megan Rodriguez

$1,632 Обс.

<1%

Oscar Romero

$7,399 Обс.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**Darializa Avila Chevalier holds a narrow lead in the NY-13 Democratic primary market at 56.5%, just ahead of five-term incumbent Adriano Espaillat at 44.5%, with all other candidates at 0.1%.** The June 23 primary features a competitive contest driven by Chevalier's late-May endorsement from Mayor Zohran Mamdani and backing from NYC DSA and Justice Democrats, which have boosted her profile as a pro-Palestinian activist and community organizer. Recent events include a June 16 NY1 debate and earlier forums marked by sharp exchanges on immigration policy, ICE, and campaign funding, alongside Espaillat's negative ads highlighting Chevalier's past social media posts. Super PAC spending has surged on both sides, and a recent poll showed the race essentially tied or with Chevalier narrowly ahead. These developments have narrowed what was once seen as a strong incumbent advantage, producing the current tight trader consensus in the final days before voting.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$288,451
Дата завершення
Jun 23, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Dec 19, 2025, 3:59 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**Darializa Avila Chevalier holds a narrow lead in the NY-13 Democratic primary market at 56.5%, just ahead of five-term incumbent Adriano Espaillat at 44.5%, with all other candidates at 0.1%.** The June 23 primary features a competitive contest driven by Chevalier's late-May endorsement from Mayor Zohran Mamdani and backing from NYC DSA and Justice Democrats, which have boosted her profile as a pro-Palestinian activist and community organizer. Recent events include a June 16 NY1 debate and earlier forums marked by sharp exchanges on immigration policy, ICE, and campaign funding, alongside Espaillat's negative ads highlighting Chevalier's past social media posts. Super PAC spending has surged on both sides, and a recent poll showed the race essentially tied or with Chevalier narrowly ahead. These developments have narrowed what was once seen as a strong incumbent advantage, producing the current tight trader consensus in the final days before voting.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$288,451
Дата завершення
Jun 23, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Dec 19, 2025, 3:59 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«NY-13 Democratic Primary Winner» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 8 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Adriano Espaillat» з 63%, далі «Darializa Avila Chevalier» з 39%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «NY-13 Democratic Primary Winner» згенерував $288.5K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Dec 19, 2025. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «NY-13 Democratic Primary Winner», перегляньте 8 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «NY-13 Democratic Primary Winner» — «Adriano Espaillat» з 63%. Наступний — «Darializa Avila Chevalier» з 39%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «NY-13 Democratic Primary Winner» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.