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Politics·Primaries

New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Market icon
Politics·Primaries

New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary Winner

NEW
Polymarket
NEW

Chris Pappas

$0 Vol.

89%

Karishma Manzur

$3,362 Vol.

6%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from New Hampshire. If no 2026 New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Chris Pappas commands 89% implied probability as the trader consensus frontrunner in the New Hampshire Democratic U.S. Senate primary on September 10, driven by his incumbency as U.S. Representative for the 1st district, dominant fundraising exceeding $3 million, and consistent double-digit leads in recent polls over incumbent Sen. Jeanne Shaheen and progressive challenger Karishma Manzur. No major developments have emerged in the past week, but mid-July polling averages from sources like the New Hampshire Journal solidify Pappas' edge among moderate and independent-leaning primary voters, reflecting NH's swing-state dynamics where incumbency advantages historically favor House members entering Senate races. Manzur's 5.8% share stems from her grassroots appeal but limited resources and name recognition. Traders await any late endorsements or debates that could narrow the gap.

Chris Pappas commands 89% implied probability as the trader consensus frontrunner in the New Hampshire Democratic U.S. Senate primary on September 10, driven by his incumbency as U.S. Representative for the 1st district, dominant fundraising exceeding $3 million, and consistent double-digit leads in recent polls over incumbent Sen. Jeanne Shaheen and progressive challenger Karishma Manzur. No major developments have emerged in the past week, but mid-July polling averages from sources like the New Hampshire Journal solidify Pappas' edge among moderate and independent-leaning primary voters, reflecting NH's swing-state dynamics where incumbency advantages historically favor House members entering Senate races. Manzur's 5.8% share stems from her grassroots appeal but limited resources and name recognition. Traders await any late endorsements or debates that could narrow the gap.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from New Hampshire. If no 2026 New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Chris Pappas commands 89% implied probability as the trader consensus frontrunner in the New Hampshire Democratic U.S. Senate primary on September 10, driven by his incumbency as U.S. Representative for the 1st district, dominant fundraising exceeding $3 million, and consistent double-digit leads in recent polls over incumbent Sen. Jeanne Shaheen and progressive challenger Karishma Manzur. No major developments have emerged in the past week, but mid-July polling averages from sources like the New Hampshire Journal solidify Pappas' edge among moderate and independent-leaning primary voters, reflecting NH's swing-state dynamics where incumbency advantages historically favor House members entering Senate races. Manzur's 5.8% share stems from her grassroots appeal but limited resources and name recognition. Traders await any late endorsements or debates that could narrow the gap.

Chris Pappas commands 89% implied probability as the trader consensus frontrunner in the New Hampshire Democratic U.S. Senate primary on September 10, driven by his incumbency as U.S. Representative for the 1st district, dominant fundraising exceeding $3 million, and consistent double-digit leads in recent polls over incumbent Sen. Jeanne Shaheen and progressive challenger Karishma Manzur. No major developments have emerged in the past week, but mid-July polling averages from sources like the New Hampshire Journal solidify Pappas' edge among moderate and independent-leaning primary voters, reflecting NH's swing-state dynamics where incumbency advantages historically favor House members entering Senate races. Manzur's 5.8% share stems from her grassroots appeal but limited resources and name recognition. Traders await any late endorsements or debates that could narrow the gap.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Chris Pappas" at 89%, followed by "Karishma Manzur" at 6%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 89¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 89% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Nov 26, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary Winner," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary Winner" is "Chris Pappas" at 89%, meaning the market assigns a 89% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Karishma Manzur" at 6%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.