Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors New York State Assemblymember Claire Valdez at 75% implied probability to win the NY-07 Democratic primary on June 23, propelled by Sen. Bernie Sanders' endorsement on April 2, which amplified her appeal as a democratic socialist and former UAW organizer among the district's progressive voters in Brooklyn and Queens. Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso holds at 21.5% with backing from the Queens County Democratic Party—quietly secured two months ago but recently publicized—and Rep. Pat Ryan, plus the Working Families Party, positioning him as the establishment choice despite an early January Data for Progress poll showing him ahead 28%-24%. NYC Councilmember Julie Won trails at 4.7% amid competitive fundraising among top contenders, with the open seat vacated by Rep. Nydia Velázquez drawing a crowded field as key endorsements and voter outreach intensify ahead of ballot deadlines.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedClaire Valdez 75%
Antonio Reynoso 22%
Julie Won 4.4%
Lincoln Restler <1%
$88,938 Vol.
$88,938 Vol.
Claire Valdez
75%
Antonio Reynoso
22%
Julie Won
4%
Lincoln Restler
<1%
Kristen Gonzalez
<1%
Julia Salazar
<1%
Jennifer Gútierrez
<1%
Sandy Nurse
<1%
Tiffany Cabán
<1%
Claire Valdez 75%
Antonio Reynoso 22%
Julie Won 4.4%
Lincoln Restler <1%
$88,938 Vol.
$88,938 Vol.
Claire Valdez
75%
Antonio Reynoso
22%
Julie Won
4%
Lincoln Restler
<1%
Kristen Gonzalez
<1%
Julia Salazar
<1%
Jennifer Gútierrez
<1%
Sandy Nurse
<1%
Tiffany Cabán
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Market Opened: Nov 25, 2025, 3:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors New York State Assemblymember Claire Valdez at 75% implied probability to win the NY-07 Democratic primary on June 23, propelled by Sen. Bernie Sanders' endorsement on April 2, which amplified her appeal as a democratic socialist and former UAW organizer among the district's progressive voters in Brooklyn and Queens. Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso holds at 21.5% with backing from the Queens County Democratic Party—quietly secured two months ago but recently publicized—and Rep. Pat Ryan, plus the Working Families Party, positioning him as the establishment choice despite an early January Data for Progress poll showing him ahead 28%-24%. NYC Councilmember Julie Won trails at 4.7% amid competitive fundraising among top contenders, with the open seat vacated by Rep. Nydia Velázquez drawing a crowded field as key endorsements and voter outreach intensify ahead of ballot deadlines.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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