Claire Valdez leads trader consensus in the NY-07 Democratic primary at 79 percent implied probability, driven by her narrow edge in the late-May Emerson poll of likely voters, leading early fundraising totals, and endorsements from Mayor Zohran Mamdani plus NYC DSA organizational strength in Queens and Brooklyn turnout operations ahead of the June 23 vote. Antonio Reynoso follows at 19.5 percent, supported by retiring Representative Nydia Velázquez’s backing and organized labor ties yet trailing in recent polling and campaign finance reports. The remaining candidates, including Julie Won, register negligible shares in both market pricing and surveys amid a large undecided bloc that could still shift before primary day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoClaire Valdez 79%
Antonio Reynoso 19%
Julie Won <1%
Kristen Gonzalez <1%
$129,594 Vol.
$129,594 Vol.
23 giu 2026
Claire Valdez
79%
Antonio Reynoso
19%
Julie Won
<1%
Kristen Gonzalez
<1%
Lincoln Restler
<1%
Julia Salazar
<1%
Jennifer Gútierrez
<1%
Sandy Nurse
<1%
Tiffany Cabán
<1%
Claire Valdez 79%
Antonio Reynoso 19%
Julie Won <1%
Kristen Gonzalez <1%
$129,594 Vol.
$129,594 Vol.
23 giu 2026
Claire Valdez
$15,117 Vol.
79%
Antonio Reynoso
$12,983 Vol.
19%
Julie Won
$9,542 Vol.
<1%
Kristen Gonzalez
$27,646 Vol.
<1%
Lincoln Restler
$8,809 Vol.
<1%
Julia Salazar
$8,110 Vol.
<1%
Jennifer Gútierrez
$27,194 Vol.
<1%
Sandy Nurse
$10,169 Vol.
<1%
Tiffany Cabán
$10,022 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Claire Valdez leads trader consensus in the NY-07 Democratic primary at 79 percent implied probability, driven by her narrow edge in the late-May Emerson poll of likely voters, leading early fundraising totals, and endorsements from Mayor Zohran Mamdani plus NYC DSA organizational strength in Queens and Brooklyn turnout operations ahead of the June 23 vote. Antonio Reynoso follows at 19.5 percent, supported by retiring Representative Nydia Velázquez’s backing and organized labor ties yet trailing in recent polling and campaign finance reports. The remaining candidates, including Julie Won, register negligible shares in both market pricing and surveys amid a large undecided bloc that could still shift before primary day.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercato aperto: Nov 25, 2025, 3:00 PM ET
Volume
$129,594Data di fine
23 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 25, 2025, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Claire Valdez leads trader consensus in the NY-07 Democratic primary at 79 percent implied probability, driven by her narrow edge in the late-May Emerson poll of likely voters, leading early fundraising totals, and endorsements from Mayor Zohran Mamdani plus NYC DSA organizational strength in Queens and Brooklyn turnout operations ahead of the June 23 vote. Antonio Reynoso follows at 19.5 percent, supported by retiring Representative Nydia Velázquez’s backing and organized labor ties yet trailing in recent polling and campaign finance reports. The remaining candidates, including Julie Won, register negligible shares in both market pricing and surveys amid a large undecided bloc that could still shift before primary day.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$129,594Data di fine
23 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 25, 2025, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Claire Valdez leads trader consensus in the NY-07 Democratic primary at 79 percent implied probability, driven by her narrow edge in the late-May Emerson poll of likely voters, leading early fundraising totals, and endorsements from Mayor Zohran Mamdani plus NYC DSA organizational strength in Queens and Brooklyn turnout operations ahead of the June 23 vote. Antonio Reynoso follows at 19.5 percent, supported by retiring Representative Nydia Velázquez’s backing and organized labor ties yet trailing in recent polling and campaign finance reports. The remaining candidates, including Julie Won, register negligible shares in both market pricing and surveys amid a large undecided bloc that could still shift before primary day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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