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Politics·Global Elections

Democratic VP Nominee 2028

Market icon
Politics·Global Elections

Democratic VP Nominee 2028

Josh Shapiro 42%

Roy Cooper 39%

Ruben Gallego 39%

Tim Walz 39%

Polymarket
NEW

Josh Shapiro 42%

Roy Cooper 39%

Ruben Gallego 39%

Tim Walz 39%

Polymarket
NEW

Gavin Newsom

$12 Vol.

23%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$1 Vol.

24%

Pete Buttigieg

$1 Vol.

23%

Josh Shapiro

$1 Vol.

42%

Wes Moore

$1 Vol.

38%

Stephen A. Smith

$1 Vol.

5%

Kamala Harris

$1 Vol.

23%

Gretchen Whitmer

$1 Vol.

37%

Andy Beshear

$1 Vol.

24%

Jon Ossoff

$1 Vol.

35%

Mark Cuban

$2 Vol.

34%

J.B. Pritzker

$1 Vol.

21%

Raphael Warnock

$1 Vol.

36%

Cory Booker

$1 Vol.

35%

Tim Walz

$1 Vol.

39%

Michelle Obama

$1 Vol.

39%

Mark Kelly

$1 Vol.

24%

Rahm Emanuel

$1 Vol.

37%

Gina Raimondo

$1 Vol.

35%

Zohran Mamdani

$1 Vol.

6%

Roy Cooper

$1 Vol.

39%

John Fetterman

$1 Vol.

39%

Jared Polis

$1 Vol.

39%

Jon Stewart

$1 Vol.

22%

Barack Obama

$1 Vol.

22%

Hillary Clinton

$1 Vol.

22%

Liz Cheney

$1 Vol.

21%

Bernie Sanders

$1 Vol.

39%

Phil Murphy

$1 Vol.

37%

LeBron James

$1 Vol.

5%

Hunter Biden

$1 Vol.

10%

George Clooney

$1 Vol.

39%

Chelsea Clinton

$1 Vol.

39%

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$12 Vol.

6%

Oprah Winfrey

$1 Vol.

34%

Andrew Yang

$1 Vol.

38%

Beto O’Rourke

$1 Vol.

24%

Kim Kardashian

$1 Vol.

5%

Chris Murphy

$1 Vol.

39%

Ruben Gallego

$1 Vol.

39%

Ro Khanna

$1 Vol.

39%

James Talarico

$1 Vol.

20%

Elissa Slotkin

$1 Vol.

23%

This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus slightly favors Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro as the leading Democratic VP nominee prospect for the 2028 ticket, reflecting his strong swing-state record and recent national visibility, including appearances at the National Action Network convention on April 9. A tight cluster at comparable implied probabilities—Maryland Gov. Wes Moore, Georgia Sen. Raphael Warnock, North Carolina Gov. Roy Cooper, Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer, Georgia Sen. Jon Ossoff, Illinois Gov. J.B. Pritzker, and Arizona Sen. Ruben Gallego—highlights the absence of a dominant presidential frontrunner, enabling diverse geographic and demographic balancing options amid opposition to the Trump-Vance administration. The race remains fluid due to early-stage speculation; separation could arise from standout 2026 midterm performances in battleground states, fundraising momentum, or key endorsements ahead of primaries.

This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$77
End Date
Aug 10, 2028
Market Opened
Apr 14, 2026, 2:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus slightly favors Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro as the leading Democratic VP nominee prospect for the 2028 ticket, reflecting his strong swing-state record and recent national visibility, including appearances at the National Action Network convention on April 9. A tight cluster at comparable implied probabilities—Maryland Gov. Wes Moore, Georgia Sen. Raphael Warnock, North Carolina Gov. Roy Cooper, Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer, Georgia Sen. Jon Ossoff, Illinois Gov. J.B. Pritzker, and Arizona Sen. Ruben Gallego—highlights the absence of a dominant presidential frontrunner, enabling diverse geographic and demographic balancing options amid opposition to the Trump-Vance administration. The race remains fluid due to early-stage speculation; separation could arise from standout 2026 midterm performances in battleground states, fundraising momentum, or key endorsements ahead of primaries.

This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$77
End Date
Aug 10, 2028
Market Opened
Apr 14, 2026, 2:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Democratic VP Nominee 2028" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 43+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Josh Shapiro" at 42%, followed by "Tim Walz" at 39%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 42¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 42% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Democratic VP Nominee 2028" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 14, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Democratic VP Nominee 2028," browse the 43+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Democratic VP Nominee 2028" is "Josh Shapiro" at 42%, meaning the market assigns a 42% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Tim Walz" at 39%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Democratic VP Nominee 2028" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.