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icon for Republican VP Nominee 2028
Politics·US Election

Republican VP Nominee 2028

icon for Republican VP Nominee 2028
Politics·US Election

Republican VP Nominee 2028

Marco Rubio 30%

Marjorie Taylor Greene 7.0%

J.D. Vance 6%

Donald Trump 5.3%

Polymarket

$47,369 Vol.

Marco Rubio 30%

Marjorie Taylor Greene 7.0%

J.D. Vance 6%

Donald Trump 5.3%

Polymarket

$47,369 Vol.

Marco Rubio

$10,972 Vol.

30%

Marjorie Taylor Greene

$1,268 Vol.

7%

J.D. Vance

$4,116 Vol.

6%

Donald Trump

$2,326 Vol.

5%

Thomas Massie

$1,092 Vol.

5%

John Thune

$1,176 Vol.

5%

Josh Hawley

$833 Vol.

4%

Donald Trump Jr.

$1,813 Vol.

4%

Ted Cruz

$1,614 Vol.

3%

Nikki Haley

$1,305 Vol.

3%

Tucker Carlson

$886 Vol.

2%

Sarah Huckabee Sanders

$888 Vol.

2%

Kristi Noem

$589 Vol.

2%

Joe Kent

$765 Vol.

2%

Elise Stefanik

$709 Vol.

2%

Brian Kemp

$1,116 Vol.

2%

Ivanka Trump

$576 Vol.

2%

Vivek Ramaswamy

$780 Vol.

2%

Ron DeSantis

$912 Vol.

1%

Rand Paul

$709 Vol.

1%

Eric Trump

$1,015 Vol.

1%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

$1,215 Vol.

1%

Byron Donalds

$1,057 Vol.

1%

Glenn Youngkin

$713 Vol.

1%

Tulsi Gabbard

$1,752 Vol.

1%

Elon Musk

$623 Vol.

1%

Katie Britt

$636 Vol.

1%

Erika Kirk

$984 Vol.

1%

Pete Hegseth

$1,070 Vol.

1%

Kim Kardashian

$545 Vol.

1%

Matt Gaetz

$721 Vol.

1%

Greg Abbott

$737 Vol.

1%

Mike Pence

$635 Vol.

1%

Tom Brady

$706 Vol.

<1%

Steve Bannon

$515 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Republican Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Marco Rubio leads trader consensus for the 2028 Republican vice presidential nomination at 29.5% amid speculation that Vice President J.D. Vance will seek the presidential nomination instead, consistent with polling trends and Trump administration signals favoring a potential Vance-Rubio pairing. Rubio’s role as secretary of state has elevated his profile through foreign policy engagements, while Vance trails at 5.5% as attention shifts to the top of the ticket. The fragmented field, with no other contender above 7%, reflects divided support among Senate, gubernatorial, and media figures. Key differentiators include foreign policy experience, Senate tenure, alignment with America First priorities, and ticket-balancing appeal. Consolidation could follow 2026 midterm results, further Trump endorsements, or early positioning clarifying Vance’s intentions.

This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Republican Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Republican Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$47,369
End Date
Aug 15, 2028
Market Opened
Apr 14, 2026, 1:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47de9d...
This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Republican Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Marco Rubio leads trader consensus for the 2028 Republican vice presidential nomination at 29.5% amid speculation that Vice President J.D. Vance will seek the presidential nomination instead, consistent with polling trends and Trump administration signals favoring a potential Vance-Rubio pairing. Rubio’s role as secretary of state has elevated his profile through foreign policy engagements, while Vance trails at 5.5% as attention shifts to the top of the ticket. The fragmented field, with no other contender above 7%, reflects divided support among Senate, gubernatorial, and media figures. Key differentiators include foreign policy experience, Senate tenure, alignment with America First priorities, and ticket-balancing appeal. Consolidation could follow 2026 midterm results, further Trump endorsements, or early positioning clarifying Vance’s intentions.

This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Republican Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Republican Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$47,369
End Date
Aug 15, 2028
Market Opened
Apr 14, 2026, 1:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47de9d...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Republican VP Nominee 2028" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Marco Rubio" at 30%, followed by "John Thune" at 9%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 30¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 30% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Republican VP Nominee 2028" has generated $47.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 14, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Republican VP Nominee 2028," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Republican VP Nominee 2028" is "Marco Rubio" at 30%, meaning the market assigns a 30% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "John Thune" at 9%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Republican VP Nominee 2028" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.