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icon for Republican VP Nominee 2028
Politics·US Election

Republican VP Nominee 2028

icon for Republican VP Nominee 2028
Politics·US Election

Republican VP Nominee 2028

Marco Rubio 30%

Tucker Carlson 20.0%

Marjorie Taylor Greene 7.5%

Donald Trump Jr. 6.1%

Polymarket

$47,369 Vol.

Marco Rubio 30%

Tucker Carlson 20.0%

Marjorie Taylor Greene 7.5%

Donald Trump Jr. 6.1%

Polymarket

$47,369 Vol.

Marco Rubio

$10,972 Vol.

30%

Tucker Carlson

$886 Vol.

20%

Marjorie Taylor Greene

$1,268 Vol.

7%

Donald Trump Jr.

$1,813 Vol.

6%

J.D. Vance

$4,116 Vol.

6%

Thomas Massie

$1,092 Vol.

5%

Donald Trump

$2,326 Vol.

5%

Josh Hawley

$833 Vol.

4%

Ted Cruz

$1,614 Vol.

4%

Nikki Haley

$1,305 Vol.

3%

Sarah Huckabee Sanders

$888 Vol.

2%

Kristi Noem

$589 Vol.

2%

Vivek Ramaswamy

$780 Vol.

2%

Glenn Youngkin

$713 Vol.

2%

Elise Stefanik

$709 Vol.

2%

Ivanka Trump

$576 Vol.

2%

Joe Kent

$765 Vol.

2%

John Thune

$1,176 Vol.

2%

Eric Trump

$1,015 Vol.

1%

Brian Kemp

$1,116 Vol.

1%

Byron Donalds

$1,057 Vol.

1%

Tulsi Gabbard

$1,752 Vol.

1%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

$1,215 Vol.

1%

Ron DeSantis

$912 Vol.

1%

Kim Kardashian

$545 Vol.

1%

Elon Musk

$623 Vol.

1%

Katie Britt

$636 Vol.

1%

Pete Hegseth

$1,070 Vol.

1%

Rand Paul

$709 Vol.

1%

Matt Gaetz

$721 Vol.

1%

Greg Abbott

$737 Vol.

1%

Mike Pence

$635 Vol.

1%

Erika Kirk

$984 Vol.

1%

Tom Brady

$706 Vol.

<1%

Steve Bannon

$515 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Republican Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In the wide-open 2028 Republican vice presidential nomination market, trader consensus gives Marco Rubio the clearest edge at 29.5% implied probability, reflecting his Senate tenure, foreign policy record, and established national profile among party elites. Other listed contenders trail sharply, differentiated by factors such as ideological alignment with primary voters, legislative voting history, and perceived electability in swing states. With no frontrunner yet declared for the presidential slot itself, support could consolidate around a single outcome through early primary results, convention dynamics, or endorsements that signal broad coalition backing, though the extended timeline leaves room for shifts driven by future polling trends and candidate positioning.

This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Republican Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Republican Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$47,369
End Date
Aug 15, 2028
Market Opened
Apr 14, 2026, 1:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47de9d...
This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Republican Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In the wide-open 2028 Republican vice presidential nomination market, trader consensus gives Marco Rubio the clearest edge at 29.5% implied probability, reflecting his Senate tenure, foreign policy record, and established national profile among party elites. Other listed contenders trail sharply, differentiated by factors such as ideological alignment with primary voters, legislative voting history, and perceived electability in swing states. With no frontrunner yet declared for the presidential slot itself, support could consolidate around a single outcome through early primary results, convention dynamics, or endorsements that signal broad coalition backing, though the extended timeline leaves room for shifts driven by future polling trends and candidate positioning.

This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Republican Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Republican Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$47,369
End Date
Aug 15, 2028
Market Opened
Apr 14, 2026, 1:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47de9d...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Republican VP Nominee 2028" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Tucker Carlson" at 40%, followed by "Marco Rubio" at 30%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 40¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Republican VP Nominee 2028" has generated $47.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 14, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Republican VP Nominee 2028," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Republican VP Nominee 2028" is "Tucker Carlson" at 40%, meaning the market assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Marco Rubio" at 30%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Republican VP Nominee 2028" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.