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Politics·Global Elections

Republican VP Nominee 2028

icon for Republican VP Nominee 2028
Politics·Global Elections

Republican VP Nominee 2028

Marco Rubio 24%

Steve Bannon 22.6%

Kristi Noem 21.7%

Thomas Massie 20.7%

Polymarket
NEW

Marco Rubio 24%

Steve Bannon 22.6%

Kristi Noem 21.7%

Thomas Massie 20.7%

Polymarket
NEW

Donald Trump

$250 Vol.

5%

J.D. Vance

$867 Vol.

12%

Marco Rubio

$278 Vol.

24%

Tulsi Gabbard

$159 Vol.

2%

Glenn Youngkin

$203 Vol.

3%

Donald Trump Jr.

$167 Vol.

3%

Ron DeSantis

$162 Vol.

2%

Nikki Haley

$184 Vol.

2%

Vivek Ramaswamy

$201 Vol.

31%

Sarah Huckabee Sanders

$250 Vol.

2%

Greg Abbott

$149 Vol.

1%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

$159 Vol.

2%

Brian Kemp

$167 Vol.

2%

Byron Donalds

$178 Vol.

1%

Elise Stefanik

$167 Vol.

4%

Josh Hawley

$176 Vol.

1%

Ted Cruz

$202 Vol.

1%

Elon Musk

$159 Vol.

2%

Matt Gaetz

$159 Vol.

1%

Katie Britt

$159 Vol.

3%

John Thune

$172 Vol.

3%

Kristi Noem

$169 Vol.

22%

Mike Pence

$196 Vol.

18%

Tucker Carlson

$159 Vol.

4%

Ivanka Trump

$176 Vol.

12%

Tom Brady

$176 Vol.

13%

Rand Paul

$167 Vol.

1%

Steve Bannon

$159 Vol.

23%

Erika Kirk

$173 Vol.

8%

Kim Kardashian

$149 Vol.

2%

Marjorie Taylor Greene

$159 Vol.

16%

Thomas Massie

$169 Vol.

11%

Eric Trump

$159 Vol.

3%

Joe Kent

$212 Vol.

3%

Pete Hegseth

$160 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Republican Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Vivek Ramaswamy's landslide victory in the Ohio Republican gubernatorial primary on May 6—securing about 82% of the vote with full endorsements from President Trump, Vice President J.D. Vance, and the state GOP—has propelled him to the top of trader consensus at 31% implied probability for the 2028 Republican VP nomination, highlighting his MAGA loyalty, fundraising prowess, and appeal in the swing state of Ohio. The race remains tightly contested among Rubio (Secretary of State, 23.5%), Bannon (22.6%), and Noem (21.9%) due to an uncertain presidential frontrunner field—where Vance leads early straw polls—and Trump's pivotal kingmaker role in a fragmented GOP primary landscape. Separation could arise from midterm results like Ramaswamy's November general election, further Trump endorsements, or rising national profiles via cabinet performances and fundraising.

This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Republican Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$6,951
End Date
Aug 14, 2028
Market Opened
Apr 14, 2026, 1:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Republican Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Republican Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Vivek Ramaswamy's landslide victory in the Ohio Republican gubernatorial primary on May 6—securing about 82% of the vote with full endorsements from President Trump, Vice President J.D. Vance, and the state GOP—has propelled him to the top of trader consensus at 31% implied probability for the 2028 Republican VP nomination, highlighting his MAGA loyalty, fundraising prowess, and appeal in the swing state of Ohio. The race remains tightly contested among Rubio (Secretary of State, 23.5%), Bannon (22.6%), and Noem (21.9%) due to an uncertain presidential frontrunner field—where Vance leads early straw polls—and Trump's pivotal kingmaker role in a fragmented GOP primary landscape. Separation could arise from midterm results like Ramaswamy's November general election, further Trump endorsements, or rising national profiles via cabinet performances and fundraising.

This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Republican Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$6,951
End Date
Aug 14, 2028
Market Opened
Apr 14, 2026, 1:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Republican Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Republican VP Nominee 2028" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Vivek Ramaswamy" at 31%, followed by "Marco Rubio" at 24%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 31¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 31% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Republican VP Nominee 2028" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 14, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Republican VP Nominee 2028," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Republican VP Nominee 2028" is "Vivek Ramaswamy" at 31%, meaning the market assigns a 31% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Marco Rubio" at 24%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Republican VP Nominee 2028" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.