Rep. Mike Collins secured the Republican nomination for U.S. Senate in Georgia by defeating Derek Dooley 55.5% to 44.5% in the June 16 runoff, producing an 11-point margin that aligns with the market’s dominant 10–15% outcome. Collins advanced from the initial primary with a clear lead and received support from national Republican figures, while Dooley drew backing from state leadership. The final certified results reflect consistent performance across most counties and higher turnout favoring the frontrunner. With the vote count now complete, the market reflects the confirmed tally rather than remaining uncertainty. Late shifts in mail or provisional ballots remain the only procedural factors that could theoretically alter the exact margin before final certification.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCollins 10–15% 99.0%
Collins <5% <1%
Collins 5–10% <1%
Collins 20–25% <1%
$4,732 Vol.
$4,732 Vol.
May 25, 2026
Collins <5%
1%
Collins 5–10%
1%
Collins 10–15%
99%
Collins 15–20%
<1%
Collins 20–25%
1%
Collins 25%+
<1%
Collins 10–15% 99.0%
Collins <5% <1%
Collins 5–10% <1%
Collins 20–25% <1%
$4,732 Vol.
$4,732 Vol.
May 25, 2026
Collins <5%
$510 Vol.
1%
Collins 5–10%
$593 Vol.
1%
Collins 10–15%
$2,270 Vol.
99%
Collins 15–20%
$233 Vol.
<1%
Collins 20–25%
$368 Vol.
1%
Collins 25%+
$543 Vol.
<1%
The Georgia Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for June 16, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Georgia Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Georgia, such as official statewide results published by the Georgia Secretary of State (https://sos.ga.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Rep. Mike Collins secured the Republican nomination for U.S. Senate in Georgia by defeating Derek Dooley 55.5% to 44.5% in the June 16 runoff, producing an 11-point margin that aligns with the market’s dominant 10–15% outcome. Collins advanced from the initial primary with a clear lead and received support from national Republican figures, while Dooley drew backing from state leadership. The final certified results reflect consistent performance across most counties and higher turnout favoring the frontrunner. With the vote count now complete, the market reflects the confirmed tally rather than remaining uncertainty. Late shifts in mail or provisional ballots remain the only procedural factors that could theoretically alter the exact margin before final certification.
The Georgia Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for June 16, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Georgia Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Georgia, such as official statewide results published by the Georgia Secretary of State (https://sos.ga.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Georgia Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Georgia, such as official statewide results published by the Georgia Secretary of State (https://sos.ga.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Market Opened: Jun 10, 2026, 5:14 PM ET
Volume
$4,732End Date
May 25, 2026Market Opened
Jun 10, 2026, 5:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Georgia Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for June 16, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Georgia Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Georgia, such as official statewide results published by the Georgia Secretary of State (https://sos.ga.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Rep. Mike Collins secured the Republican nomination for U.S. Senate in Georgia by defeating Derek Dooley 55.5% to 44.5% in the June 16 runoff, producing an 11-point margin that aligns with the market’s dominant 10–15% outcome. Collins advanced from the initial primary with a clear lead and received support from national Republican figures, while Dooley drew backing from state leadership. The final certified results reflect consistent performance across most counties and higher turnout favoring the frontrunner. With the vote count now complete, the market reflects the confirmed tally rather than remaining uncertainty. Late shifts in mail or provisional ballots remain the only procedural factors that could theoretically alter the exact margin before final certification.
The Georgia Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for June 16, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Georgia Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Georgia, such as official statewide results published by the Georgia Secretary of State (https://sos.ga.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Georgia Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Georgia, such as official statewide results published by the Georgia Secretary of State (https://sos.ga.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volume
$4,732End Date
May 25, 2026Market Opened
Jun 10, 2026, 5:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Rep. Mike Collins secured the Republican nomination for U.S. Senate in Georgia by defeating Derek Dooley 55.5% to 44.5% in the June 16 runoff, producing an 11-point margin that aligns with the market’s dominant 10–15% outcome. Collins advanced from the initial primary with a clear lead and received support from national Republican figures, while Dooley drew backing from state leadership. The final certified results reflect consistent performance across most counties and higher turnout favoring the frontrunner. With the vote count now complete, the market reflects the confirmed tally rather than remaining uncertainty. Late shifts in mail or provisional ballots remain the only procedural factors that could theoretically alter the exact margin before final certification.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions