Incumbent Democratic Rep. Judy Chu faces minimal opposition in California's 28th congressional district ahead of the June 2 primary, with Republican April Verlato and intra-party challenger Peter Roybal on the ballot. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in consistent Solid or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters, underpins the 90.5% implied probability for the Democratic nominee to win the November general election. Historical performance and limited Republican infrastructure in the Los Angeles-area seat reinforce trader positioning. Late primary surprises, a weak Democratic nominee, or broader national shifts could narrow the gap, though structural barriers make such outcomes unlikely.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$94,438 Vol.
$94,438 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
91%
共和党
10%
$94,438 Vol.
$94,438 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$42,619 Vol.
91%
共和党
$51,820 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Rep. Judy Chu faces minimal opposition in California's 28th congressional district ahead of the June 2 primary, with Republican April Verlato and intra-party challenger Peter Roybal on the ballot. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in consistent Solid or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters, underpins the 90.5% implied probability for the Democratic nominee to win the November general election. Historical performance and limited Republican infrastructure in the Los Angeles-area seat reinforce trader positioning. Late primary surprises, a weak Democratic nominee, or broader national shifts could narrow the gap, though structural barriers make such outcomes unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
音量
$94,438終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Rep. Judy Chu faces minimal opposition in California's 28th congressional district ahead of the June 2 primary, with Republican April Verlato and intra-party challenger Peter Roybal on the ballot. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in consistent Solid or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters, underpins the 90.5% implied probability for the Democratic nominee to win the November general election. Historical performance and limited Republican infrastructure in the Los Angeles-area seat reinforce trader positioning. Late primary surprises, a weak Democratic nominee, or broader national shifts could narrow the gap, though structural barriers make such outcomes unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$94,438終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Rep. Judy Chu faces minimal opposition in California's 28th congressional district ahead of the June 2 primary, with Republican April Verlato and intra-party challenger Peter Roybal on the ballot. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in consistent Solid or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters, underpins the 90.5% implied probability for the Democratic nominee to win the November general election. Historical performance and limited Republican infrastructure in the Los Angeles-area seat reinforce trader positioning. Late primary surprises, a weak Democratic nominee, or broader national shifts could narrow the gap, though structural barriers make such outcomes unlikely.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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